NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	111		Excitement	6.9 [454]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +20.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	102		Comeback	1.6 [350]		LVP	Rick Fox (LAL): -11.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.11	0.00	26	57%	0.20	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Dell Curry	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	9	72%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	7	57%	0.06	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Muggsy Bogues	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	13	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Charles Oakley	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	21	59%	0.08	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	14	50%	0.06	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
John Salley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Celestand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	25	56%	0.05	4	-0.10	16	44%	-0.11
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	10	40%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	6	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.6	33.3	16.4	29.5	2.4	34.6	142.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +24.8%

TOR +11.9%

LAL -0.7%

TOR +14.4%

LAL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.9	15.2	111.0	105.2	101.7
season	15.5	15.3		101.8	105.6
opponent	15.1	14.9		98.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.1	14.7	14.5	15.3	14.3
LAL	14.1	14.7	14.9	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	85	82	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.05	31	-22	53	13.5	19.2	-5.72	15.3	12.9	2.41
Muggsy Bogues	32	31	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	1	7	15.0	14.0	0.97	16.2	14.3	1.94
Antonio Davis	71	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	1	7	14.5	14.1	0.38	14.5	16.1	-1.60
Dell Curry	32	32	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	4	1	15.8	13.6	2.21	16.5	14.1	2.42
Charles Oakley	57	57	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	3	3	13.8	15.1	-1.28	14.2	15.8	-1.60
Doug Christie	73	69	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	7	-5	13.9	15.4	-1.51	15.1	14.5	0.52
John Thomas	6	5	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	7	-5	14.5	14.3	0.17	18.8	14.7	4.10
Dee Brown	66	64	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	7	-5	13.9	15.1	-1.22	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Michael Stewart	3	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	9	-9	11.7	14.4	-2.76	16.5	14.9	1.63
Tracy McGrady	60	57	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.30	-13	22	-35	15.5	12.6	2.90	14.2	16.0	-1.82
Kevin Willis	15	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	15	-21	15.8	14.1	1.72	13.5	15.2	-1.70

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Celestand	19	19	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.09	8	-17	25	14.9	14.9	0.05	15.6	14.0	1.59
John Salley	6	6	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-14	19	10.0	15.2	-5.23	15.5	14.3	1.23
Derek Fisher	61	64	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-5	1	14.8	15.2	-0.41	14.0	15.0	-1.03
A.C. Green	23	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	0	-9	15.3	14.8	0.52	13.0	14.8	-1.82
Glen Rice	84	88	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-8	7	14.6	16.7	-2.06	14.2	15.2	-1.03
Robert Horry	28	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-2	-5	14.0	15.3	-1.28	15.4	13.9	1.46
Rick Fox	53	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-2	-5	15.3	14.4	0.95	14.2	14.5	-0.36
Ron Harper	71	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	2	-13	14.9	15.0	-0.18	14.4	14.2	0.17
Brian Shaw	49	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-4	-1	15.5	14.3	1.18	14.7	14.0	0.75
Shaquille O'Neal	91	94	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.19	-14	5	-19	15.2	10.0	5.23	14.3	15.5	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.2,0.07,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.07,0,0,0	93.0%
GSW 113, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.0%
SEA 92, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	92.9%