NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	100		Excitement	6.1 [576]		MVP	Sherman Douglas (NJN): +7.7%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	1.5 [727]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -23.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.04
Larry Hughes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Bruce Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	55%	0.01	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Billy Owens	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	32	51%	0.04	5	-0.15	8	62%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	81%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	15	53%	0.02	4	-0.15	8	100%	0.04
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.11	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.07
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.3,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.20	-0.04	-0.00	17	45%	-0.07	6	-0.17	15	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	0.7	31.6	15.5	28.2	1.8	45.4	151.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.3%

NJN -0.8%

PHI +2.2%

PHI +16.1%

PHI +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	15.2	102.0	100.0	101.7
season	15.0	15.5		99.5	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.5		103.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.3	13.3	15.5	15.2	14.3
NJN	16.0	16.2	16.5	13.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	71	72	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-6	16	14.5	13.9	0.54	15.7	14.5	1.13
Allen Iverson	89	87	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-6	16	14.3	14.8	-0.51	15.9	10.3	5.57
Todd MacCulloch	23	24	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.01	14	-10	24	12.7	14.8	-2.12	16.0	15.2	0.87
George Lynch	54	52	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	5	-6	14.6	14.0	0.62	16.3	14.2	2.10
Billy Owens	46	45	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	-2	8	13.8	14.7	-0.88	14.0	16.6	-2.57
Larry Hughes	50	47	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	2	0	14.1	14.6	-0.48	14.3	16.5	-2.21
Aaron McKie	66	66	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	8	-12	14.6	13.7	0.84	15.8	14.4	1.38
Nazr Mohammed	9	9	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	3	-2	12.7	14.5	-1.82	16.3	15.3	1.05
Theo Ratliff	66	63	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.35	-11	15	-26	15.1	12.7	2.42	15.0	16.1	-1.12
Bruce Bowen	16	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	11	-18	13.9	14.4	-0.45	13.4	15.8	-2.35

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	37	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.28	8	-12	20	15.8	15.1	0.69	15.4	13.6	1.86
Gheorghe Muresan	7	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-2	0	14.1	15.5	-1.34	12.9	14.4	-1.57
Johnny Newman	48	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.37	10	-14	24	13.9	16.9	-3.02	14.4	14.2	0.24
Elliot Perry	41	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.42	10	-14	24	12.5	17.6	-5.10	14.6	14.1	0.53
Kendall Gill	63	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	6	-16	16.6	13.1	3.54	14.3	14.3	0.00
Keith Van Horn	89	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	15.5	14.1	1.34	14.4	12.9	1.57
Sherman Douglas	58	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	7	-18	17.2	12.6	4.60	14.1	14.6	-0.51
Jamie Feick	59	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	8	-20	15.1	15.8	-0.69	13.6	15.4	-1.86
Stephon Marbury	78	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	7	-18	15.5	14.8	0.68	14.2	14.6	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 75, IND 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0	94.5%
SAS 89, IND 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
UTA 110, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.35,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0	93.9%