NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	75		Excitement	5.9 [653]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (DET): +3.3%
Indiana Pacers	72		Comeback	1.9 [304]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -20.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	16	47%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	13	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	12	41%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Maurice Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	10	40%	0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	2	25%	-0.10	2	-0.06	8	12%	-0.15

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.02	6	58%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	14	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	8	45%	0.01	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	9	36%	-0.06	4	-0.15	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.0	26.0	16.5	24.2	2.0	32.1	125.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.2%

IND -17.2%

DET +12.9%

DET +23.1%

IND -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	17.8	15.2	15.6	85.2	83.7	104.4
season	16.9	16.0		108.3	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		100.8	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.2	17.3	17.4	19.5	17.8
IND	16.2	15.5	15.4	13.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	27	26	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-11	25	19.6	17.1	2.53	15.8	15.0	0.77
Antonio McDyess	46	44	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	-5	13	19.2	16.4	2.75	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Chauncey Billups	73	71	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	1	1	17.8	17.8	0.05	15.3	14.8	0.52
Dale Davis	22	22	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	-9	21	19.7	17.2	2.52	15.8	15.0	0.79
Carlos Delfino	29	29	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	-6	15	18.2	17.6	0.60	15.4	15.1	0.33
Ben Wallace	49	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	4	-5	16.5	19.5	-2.96	15.4	15.0	0.46
Richard Hamilton	67	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.42	-7	10	-17	17.4	19.1	-1.71	15.0	15.9	-0.87
Tayshaun Prince	59	57	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.36	-6	9	-15	17.6	18.2	-0.60	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Rasheed Wallace	59	57	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.40	-13	16	-29	17.2	19.1	-1.93	15.0	15.7	-0.64
Maurice Evans	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	6	-9	15.6	18.1	-2.55	14.4	15.3	-0.88

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	46	45	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.12	8	-11	19	16.4	13.9	2.49	16.6	19.1	-2.54
Anthony Johnson	53	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-2	1	15.8	14.4	1.36	17.8	17.9	-0.17
Danny Granger	43	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.43	9	-12	21	14.7	15.7	-1.02	18.2	17.5	0.73
Jeff Foster	41	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	6	-15	15.9	14.6	1.33	17.8	17.9	-0.15
Jamaal Tinsley	48	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	0	-3	14.5	16.1	-1.61	17.9	17.8	0.14
Peja Stojakovic	74	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	2	-7	15.2	15.5	-0.31	18.2	16.0	2.16
Stephen Jackson	75	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	1	-5	15.4	13.8	1.62	17.7	19.1	-1.43
Jermaine O'Neal	50	53	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.33	-10	7	-17	13.9	17.1	-3.14	18.5	16.9	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 100, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0	94.5%
SAS 89, IND 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.3%
WAS 95, TOR 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	93.2%