NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	6.2 [565]		MVP	Brad Miller (CHH): +7.1%
Charlotte Hornets	104		Comeback	2.7 [938]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -20.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Rooks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	14	50%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Pack	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	0.00	-0.09	0.06	18	66%	0.06	6	-0.20	5	100%	0.03
Cedric Ceballos	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.06	-0.08	0.06	11	48%	-0.10	2	-0.10	7	71%	-0.02
Michael Finley	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.07	-0.12	0.02	19	38%	-0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	9	62%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	13	71%	0.08	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.06	-0.02	12	58%	0.10	5	-0.10	12	67%	-0.04
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	9	41%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	18	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	59%	-0.02	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.7	28.0	15.4	26.5	2.3	44.5	145.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +20.9%

CHH +0.6%

CHH +17.9%

CHH +7.8%

CHH +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHH	NBA	DAL	CHH	NBA
this game	13.4	13.5	15.2	92.5	97.2	101.7
season	14.8	14.9		104.2	101.5
opponent	15.1	14.8		99.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.1	14.8	13.3	13.6	13.4
CHH	13.6	10.9	15.5	14.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	44	43	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.18	12	-17	29	12.0	14.4	-2.38	14.9	12.5	2.37
Hubert Davis	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-3	1	12.8	13.6	-0.85	14.3	13.3	1.02
Erick Strickland	75	74	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.38	8	-13	21	13.2	14.0	-0.79	13.4	13.5	-0.11
Dirk Nowitzki	101	100	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-7	9	13.3	15.2	-1.82	13.5	12.4	1.11
Michael Finley	82	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-4	3	13.5	13.3	0.22	13.6	12.9	0.71
Steve Nash	32	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	6	-17	13.9	13.2	0.70	11.9	14.1	-2.18
Robert Pack	88	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	13.5	13.3	0.16	13.5	13.3	0.16
Shawn Bradley	46	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	8	-21	15.3	12.1	3.18	14.7	12.5	2.21
Cedric Ceballos	54	55	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	9	-23	14.2	12.6	1.60	12.9	14.1	-1.15

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	82	83	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.09	25	-20	45	12.9	15.4	-2.52	14.3	10.5	3.80
Eddie Jones	94	96	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-6	17	12.9	17.7	-4.81	13.7	10.9	2.83
Baron Davis	61	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.01	19	-14	33	11.3	16.3	-5.05	13.6	13.2	0.37
Brad Miller	37	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-4	13	13.9	13.2	0.69	14.2	13.0	1.21
Elden Campbell	71	70	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	9	-13	13.3	13.8	-0.51	13.0	14.2	-1.21
Bobby Phills	68	66	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.24	-7	12	-19	14.0	12.5	1.50	12.3	15.2	-2.87
Anthony Mason	76	76	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.44	-14	19	-33	14.3	11.5	2.79	13.1	14.3	-1.19
David Wesley	46	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.37	-14	19	-33	16.3	11.3	5.05	13.2	13.6	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.91,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.82,0.72,0.85,0.99,0.98,1,1	91.4%
DEN 99, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.83,0.65,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	91.4%
CLE 90, ATL 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.76,0.83,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	91.3%