NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	4.8 [845]		MVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): +5.2%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	2.6 [643]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -6.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.01
Bob Sura	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	52%	0.00	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.04	-0.02	12	39%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
A.J. Bramlett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	15	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Wesley Person	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	89%	0.09	4	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.05	-0.05	31	45%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	54%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	15	56%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Alan Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.5	1.8	31.4	15.8	24.0	2.0	27.1	133.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +18.0%

ATL +6.0%

ATL +25.2%

CLE -3.0%

ATL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	15.2	92.8	111.3	101.7
season	14.1	15.4		98.0	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.1	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.7	17.3	14.2	13.2	14.3
ATL	15.0	13.3	15.8	17.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	53	54	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.24	15	-33	48	13.0	15.9	-2.85	16.9	13.5	3.36
Shawn Kemp	61	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-12	6	14.2	14.5	-0.27	16.1	14.0	2.08
Brevin Knight	55	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-11	4	14.7	13.8	0.92	14.8	16.1	-1.36
Andre Miller	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-7	-4	13.8	14.7	-0.92	16.1	14.8	1.36
Lamond Murray	39	39	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-10	2	14.2	14.4	-0.17	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Bob Sura	59	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	-3	-12	14.5	14.1	0.46	14.5	16.8	-2.31
Cedric Henderson	54	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-5	-8	14.4	14.3	0.13	15.5	15.2	0.23
Mark Bryant	52	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.19	-19	1	-20	14.7	13.9	0.74	15.4	15.4	0.01
A.J. Bramlett	15	14	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-3	-12	16.9	13.9	3.08	10.2	16.2	-6.01
Wesley Person	55	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-7	-4	14.5	14.1	0.33	15.4	15.4	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	51	53	0.75	-0.25	1.01	-0.30	36	-18	54	14.6	16.2	-1.59	15.4	13.0	2.43
Dikembe Mutombo	78	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	1	16	15.8	13.4	2.48	14.5	13.5	1.05
Isaiah Rider	83	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	0	18	15.7	13.4	2.34	14.9	11.0	3.89
Jason Terry	50	50	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	3	12	14.5	16.3	-1.74	14.4	14.3	0.14
Jim Jackson	84	83	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	12	-6	15.0	17.8	-2.78	13.6	18.4	-4.79
Alan Henderson	40	40	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	18	-18	15.7	15.1	0.62	15.1	13.8	1.35
Lorenzen Wright	34	33	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	25	-32	14.5	15.8	-1.33	11.6	15.7	-4.13
Bimbo Coles	35	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.16	-10	28	-38	16.2	14.9	1.27	13.4	14.9	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.76,0.83,0.92,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, BKN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.93,1,0.99,1,1	94.2%
DEN 99, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.83,0.65,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	93.9%
TOR 82, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	93.8%