NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	5.1 [803]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (MIL): +22.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	2.5 [415]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -10.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	11	76%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	5	93%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	10	41%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	13	41%	-0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.07	-0.00	7	94%	0.23	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.01	13	66%	0.19	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.03	0.00	14	71%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	13	53%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	11	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	0.03	11	36%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	27.6	15.0	29.2	2.6	31.5	130.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +14.3%

TOR -1.5%

MIL +13.7%

MIL +19.9%

MIL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.0	14.8	103.3	111.0	107.7
season	15.2	14.9		110.0	107.4
opponent	15.3	14.9		107.8	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.9	16.4	16.9	13.5	15.6
MIL	17.6	13.1	15.9	17.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	38	38	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-13	19	15.5	15.7	-0.21	15.5	16.4	-0.86
Jonas Valanciunas	40	40	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-12	17	16.4	15.0	1.43	16.1	15.9	0.27
Fred VanVleet	15	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-12	17	13.5	16.1	-2.53	22.1	14.9	7.18
Jakob Poeltl	3	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-3	-1	13.7	15.7	-2.05	18.0	15.9	2.07
Cory Joseph	71	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.38	8	-15	23	15.2	17.3	-2.18	16.1	15.7	0.42
DeMar DeRozan	61	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-10	13	16.0	14.9	1.07	14.8	18.5	-3.78
Delon Wright	20	18	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	8	-23	17.3	15.2	2.18	15.7	16.1	-0.42
Serge Ibaka	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	15.6	15.9	-0.38	15.0	19.9	-4.92
Norman Powell	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	1	-9	15.3	16.0	-0.75	16.6	15.3	1.37
Patrick Patterson	34	35	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	9	-25	15.9	15.5	0.33	16.6	15.6	1.02
PJ Tucker	53	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	6	-19	15.7	15.5	0.21	16.4	15.5	0.86

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Brogdon	80	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	0	7	15.7	17.8	-2.07	15.6	16.0	-0.41
Spencer Hawes	34	33	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	-7	21	16.1	15.9	0.14	15.6	15.7	-0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	47	49	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	-1	9	16.5	15.5	1.01	15.7	15.6	0.05
Tony Snell	57	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	7	-7	15.2	17.4	-2.16	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Mirza Teletovic	16	15	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	-8	23	15.4	16.1	-0.68	16.3	15.5	0.82
Khris Middleton	58	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	4	-1	15.8	16.4	-0.57	15.6	15.7	-0.03
Greg Monroe	39	40	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	6	-5	15.3	16.6	-1.30	15.6	15.6	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	68	69	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.37	-8	15	-23	15.5	17.6	-2.15	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Jason Terry	38	38	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	4	-1	18.7	14.1	4.56	16.2	15.3	0.92
Thon Maker	18	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.13	-8	15	-23	17.4	15.6	1.80	15.7	15.6	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.82,0.72,0.85,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, LAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
UTA 104, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.83,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.1%
SAC 105, ORL 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.1%