NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	77		Excitement	7.9 [260]		MVP	Brent Price (VAN): +2.1%
Sacramento Kings	81		Comeback	1.7 [997]		LVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): -44.0%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Obinna Ekezie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	15	60%	0.04	5	-0.11	10	60%	-0.04
Mike Bibby	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	0.01	-0.00	10	27%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Othella Harrington	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	17	52%	-0.05	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.08
Joe Stephens	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	5	8%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Michael Dickerson	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.16	-0.07	-0.01	15	32%	-0.11	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Bryant Reeves	-0.44	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.44	-0.18	-0.25	0.01	14	21%	-0.30	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	10	43%	-0.04	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	7	25%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	13	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	8	12%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	11	9%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	15	49%	-0.05	5	-0.12	9	56%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	23.6	15.4	29.4	2.4	38.2	133.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN -5.6%

SAC +10.7%

SAC +15.7%

SAC +25.1%

SAC +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	SAC	NBA	VAN	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	12.8	15.2	77.0	81.0	101.7
season	15.9	13.8		99.5	102.9
opponent	14.7	15.0		100.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.7	16.7	15.2	16.6	16.0
SAC	11.0	12.8	9.7	20.4	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obinna Ekezie	4	3	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-7	10	24.2	15.6	8.64	32.7	12.2	20.44
Brent Price	24	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-9	14	14.5	16.4	-1.87	11.5	13.3	-1.76
Joe Stephens	27	26	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-7	10	18.6	15.0	3.66	15.6	11.9	3.75
Cherokee Parks	26	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-1	-2	17.0	15.6	1.35	11.9	13.2	-1.30
Bryant Reeves	81	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	1	-6	16.3	14.7	1.58	13.5	10.1	3.44
Othella Harrington	88	88	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	0	-4	15.1	21.9	-6.77	12.0	19.1	-7.09
Michael Dickerson	90	89	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	0	-4	15.1	23.5	-8.38	12.0	20.0	-8.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	83	85	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	3	-10	16.0	15.8	0.24	12.9	12.4	0.52
Mike Bibby	77	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	4	-12	16.2	15.0	1.25	13.1	12.0	1.15

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	76	74	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-6	16	11.7	16.6	-4.93	15.3	17.8	-2.55
Jason Williams	74	75	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-6	16	11.1	17.8	-6.77	15.2	18.2	-2.93
Vlade Divac	74	73	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-5	14	12.1	14.8	-2.71	15.4	17.5	-2.13
Tyrone Corbin	27	29	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	6	-8	17.1	11.3	5.80	16.6	15.7	0.88
Jon Barry	41	42	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	4	-4	17.2	9.8	7.34	16.9	15.3	1.59
Nick Anderson	59	58	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	0	4	9.8	17.2	-7.34	15.3	16.9	-1.59
Corliss Williamson	54	52	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	0	4	10.0	16.2	-6.25	15.0	17.0	-2.08
Peja Stojakovic	19	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	2	0	15.0	12.3	2.67	17.7	15.5	2.19
Scot Pollard	25	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	8	-12	15.4	12.0	3.41	18.0	15.2	2.81
Darrick Martin	27	26	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	11	-18	17.2	11.2	6.00	17.6	15.4	2.24
Lawrence Funderburke	24	26	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	10	-16	16.6	11.7	4.93	17.8	15.3	2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	93.7%
NOP 96, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.91,0.85,0.98,0.97,1,1	93.6%
MEM 82, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	93.4%