NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	100		Excitement	4.8 [836]		MVP	Vin Baker (SEA): +8.8%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.8 [665]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -19.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	14	66%	0.17	5	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	76%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	13	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.04
Greg Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lazaro Borrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	59%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Stepania	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	9	56%	0.01	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.19	0.01	-0.10	14	39%	-0.05	4	-0.04	13	54%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.03	12	54%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	22	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.03	21	33%	-0.09	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	30.3	14.6	24.3	1.5	28.6	128.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +51.9%

SEA +11.0%

NJN -2.0%

NJN -12.5%

SEA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NJN	NBA	SEA	NJN	NBA
this game	13.3	16.3	15.2	104.2	93.9	101.7
season	14.9	15.5		103.5	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.4		103.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	11.8	13.0	12.3	16.8	13.3
NJN	15.9	18.9	14.9	16.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Maxwell	57	59	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-3	14	13.4	13.2	0.22	17.0	15.3	1.65
Gary Payton	93	94	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	0	8	13.2	16.3	-3.10	15.7	30.5	-14.78
Horace Grant	80	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-8	24	14.1	9.4	4.75	17.4	11.6	5.84
Greg Foster	24	25	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	-1	10	12.4	13.6	-1.22	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Brent Barry	58	60	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	7	-6	13.8	12.6	1.16	17.3	14.7	2.64
Vin Baker	71	71	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	12	-16	13.8	12.0	1.75	16.2	16.8	-0.62
Ruben Patterson	62	63	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	2	4	14.3	11.5	2.79	16.4	16.1	0.29
Rashard Lewis	22	22	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	8	-8	8.7	14.7	-6.03	13.7	17.1	-3.35
Emanual Davis	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	5.0	13.6	-8.60	4.7	16.8	-12.07
Lazaro Borrell	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	5.0	13.6	-8.60	4.7	16.8	-12.07
Vladimir Stepania	7	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	12	-16	12.6	13.4	-0.82	21.2	15.9	5.36

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	19	19	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.34	14	-22	36	13.9	16.9	-2.95	16.5	12.5	3.98
Lucious Harris	32	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.36	11	-19	30	14.7	17.1	-2.48	12.2	13.9	-1.70
Jim McIlvaine	35	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.31	8	-16	24	15.5	16.8	-1.31	13.2	13.4	-0.27
Sherman Douglas	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-4	0	26.5	15.7	10.84	15.3	13.2	2.13
Kerry Kittles	16	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-3	-2	20.4	15.5	4.91	9.1	14.1	-5.06
Johnny Newman	46	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-6	4	16.3	16.4	-0.12	12.9	13.7	-0.83
Jamie Feick	77	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-6	4	16.4	16.0	0.35	13.9	11.5	2.32
Gheorghe Muresan	7	7	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	4	-16	19.4	16.1	3.34	13.4	13.3	0.10
Keith Van Horn	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-1	-6	17.1	14.8	2.25	13.8	12.3	1.54
Scott Burrell	46	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	6	-20	16.1	16.6	-0.49	12.4	14.2	-1.85
Kendall Gill	58	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	7	-22	15.8	17.1	-1.31	13.6	12.9	0.69
Stephon Marbury	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	4	-16	16.0	18.1	-2.15	13.4	12.8	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, NJN 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
BOS 111, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
NYK 107, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.26,0.09,0.22,0.2,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.9%