NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	4.4 [936]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): +41.9%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.6 [692]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -9.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.20	0.17	-0.05	19	76%	0.45	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.17	-0.00	0.04	21	73%	0.24	5	-0.11	7	100%	0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	5	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	60%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pablo Prigioni	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.02	0.06	15	76%	0.24	4	-0.11	12	100%	0.04
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	11	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	12	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.01	-0.05	14	30%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	10	48%	0.03	4	-0.12	9	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.8	33.2	16.5	29.4	2.5	34.4	141.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +53.0%

SAC -10.0%

NYK +0.4%

NYK +2.1%

NYK +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	17.8	15.7	15.1	124.4	115.1	105.2
season	16.0	15.4		106.4	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.4		107.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.7	17.4	18.2	18.0	17.8
SAC	15.9	16.9	16.0	14.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	-10	28	18.3	16.9	1.38	16.5	14.1	2.37
Tyson Chandler	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-2	12	16.9	19.2	-2.30	15.9	15.3	0.58
J.R. Smith	75	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	4	0	17.9	17.5	0.41	15.5	17.2	-1.73
Carmelo Anthony	75	74	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	4	0	17.9	17.4	0.52	15.7	15.7	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	29	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-1	10	17.4	18.0	-0.55	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Raymond Felton	58	57	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.28	-1	9	-10	17.8	17.8	0.04	15.7	15.6	0.13
Pablo Prigioni	28	29	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.02	9	-1	10	17.8	17.8	-0.04	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Iman Shumpert	45	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	13	-18	17.7	17.9	-0.22	15.7	15.6	0.11
Cole Aldrich	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.21	-8	16	-24	20.3	17.5	2.82	12.3	16.2	-3.90

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-4	0	20.1	15.2	4.91	17.7	17.8	-0.07
Royce White	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-2	-4	17.2	15.4	1.84	15.8	18.2	-2.32
Reggie Evans	29	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	1	-10	17.0	15.0	2.00	17.5	18.0	-0.52
Ben McLemore	54	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-13	18	15.4	16.1	-0.62	18.2	17.1	1.15
Derrick Williams	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-7	6	15.3	16.3	-0.96	17.5	18.3	-0.80
Travis Outlaw	49	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	1	-10	15.7	15.6	0.14	18.1	17.5	0.55
Ray McCallum	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-4	0	15.2	20.1	-4.91	17.8	18.3	-0.58
DeMarcus Cousins	78	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-4	0	15.2	20.1	-4.91	17.8	17.7	0.07
Rudy Gay	64	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	0	-8	15.7	15.5	0.23	18.1	16.7	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.26,0.09,0.22,0.2,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 88, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.22,0.09,0.04,0	94.3%
SEA 100, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0,0	93.9%
MIN 102, VAN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.06,0,0	93.7%