NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	6.4 [536]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +10.0%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	1.4 [287]		LVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): -22.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.02	25	57%	0.21	4	-0.11	3	67%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.02	15	50%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
George Lynch	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	12	48%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Todd MacCulloch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stanley Roberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	6	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron McKie	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	7	39%	-0.06	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	12	73%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	3	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	44%	-0.02	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	39%	-0.06	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	21	50%	-0.08	3	-0.08	12	83%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.10	0.01	9	30%	-0.16	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.7	31.5	18.4	25.5	2.3	39.6	145.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +57.8%

TOR -14.8%

PHI +5.8%

PHI +1.1%

PHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	15.2	96.9	95.7	101.7
season	15.0	15.5		99.5	101.8
opponent	14.9	15.5		102.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	15.3	14.8	16.2	15.1
TOR	17.2	14.7	13.4	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	74	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-9	21	15.4	14.3	1.08	15.6	14.1	1.46
Theo Ratliff	60	58	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-4	11	16.7	12.4	4.30	16.2	13.6	2.55
George Lynch	71	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.52	0	3	-3	15.9	13.0	2.90	15.3	15.0	0.35
Allen Iverson	86	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	0	3	15.6	10.9	4.69	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Billy Owens	67	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.07	12	-9	21	14.3	16.9	-2.62	15.9	13.6	2.30
Bruce Bowen	12	13	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	-2	7	17.2	14.8	2.36	15.4	15.2	0.20
Todd MacCulloch	17	16	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	-4	11	11.6	15.8	-4.20	14.2	15.4	-1.16
Larry Hughes	46	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	2	-1	12.9	17.2	-4.29	14.5	15.9	-1.48
Aaron McKie	32	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.32	-18	21	-39	14.7	15.3	-0.58	14.0	15.9	-1.82
Stanley Roberts	15	17	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	17	-31	14.5	15.2	-0.68	12.9	15.7	-2.77

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	39	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.49	16	-19	35	13.7	16.3	-2.51	16.2	14.3	1.96
Tracy McGrady	45	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-1	-1	15.1	15.3	-0.24	12.6	17.3	-4.67
Muggsy Bogues	40	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-8	13	15.7	14.9	0.80	16.2	14.3	1.92
Kevin Willis	46	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-3	3	14.9	15.5	-0.59	13.0	17.0	-4.00
Vince Carter	80	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.42	3	-6	9	15.4	14.4	1.01	15.7	11.9	3.76
Alvin Williams	33	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.03	-12	9	-21	14.8	15.4	-0.61	14.8	15.3	-0.52
Charles Oakley	45	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	12	-27	15.8	14.7	1.04	14.8	15.4	-0.66
Doug Christie	83	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	1	-5	15.2	15.4	-0.17	15.4	13.2	2.21
Antonio Davis	59	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	3	-9	15.8	14.2	1.66	16.3	12.9	3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	93.6%
SAS 85, NJN 71	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
HOU 103, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.02,0,0	92.2%