NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	85		Excitement	4.8 [846]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +17.6%
New Jersey Nets	71		Comeback	1.2 [481]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (SAS): -12.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.08	-0.03	19	67%	0.23	4	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Bruce Bowen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.09	0.05	-0.06	16	35%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Parker	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	10	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	21	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	18	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	17	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	6	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.8	28.8	17.7	27.3	3.4	30.6	134.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +41.5%

SAS +13.7%

NJN -1.6%

NJN -5.8%

SAS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NJN	NBA	SAS	NJN	NBA
this game	17.4	15.6	15.7	96.6	81.6	100.5
season	15.9	15.3		100.1	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.8		95.2	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.1	15.9	18.0	19.4	17.4
NJN	15.2	17.5	15.4	14.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	73	72	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	1	12	17.1	18.5	-1.34	15.6	15.1	0.51
Tim Duncan	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-2	18	16.8	20.4	-3.66	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Bruce Bowen	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.11	10	4	6	17.4	17.3	0.06	16.3	13.8	2.49
Jason Hart	24	26	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	0	14	14.7	18.3	-3.64	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Rasho Nesterovic	63	61	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	10	-6	18.2	15.3	2.89	16.3	13.8	2.49
Malik Rose	39	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	6	2	17.1	17.5	-0.40	14.5	16.4	-1.84
Tony Parker	64	61	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	14	-14	18.3	14.7	3.64	15.8	14.9	0.90
Devin Brown	7	6	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	7	0	20.1	17.1	3.03	12.7	15.8	-3.10
Hedo Turkoglu	34	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	16	-18	17.2	17.4	-0.19	14.6	16.2	-1.64

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tamar Slay	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	12.0	15.6	-3.64	19.7	17.3	2.40
Doug Overton	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	12.0	15.6	-3.64	19.7	17.3	2.40
Brandon Armstrong	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-13	12	15.4	15.6	-0.20	19.9	16.9	3.06
Zoran Planinic	12	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-7	0	13.8	15.8	-1.99	18.5	17.2	1.30
Alonzo Mourning	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-11	8	14.4	16.3	-1.87	18.3	16.8	1.51
Kenyon Martin	68	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-13	12	15.9	14.5	1.38	17.8	15.7	2.12
Jason Collins	59	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-7	0	16.1	14.4	1.76	17.4	17.2	0.23
Jason Kidd	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-7	0	15.8	13.8	1.99	17.2	18.5	-1.30
Aaron Williams	21	18	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	4	-22	15.5	15.6	-0.04	13.9	18.2	-4.28
Kerry Kittles	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	-1	-12	15.6	15.4	0.20	16.9	19.9	-3.06
Richard Jefferson	76	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	-1	-12	15.5	15.6	-0.10	17.1	18.8	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	94.3%
SAC 131, OKC 120	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.04,0,0,0	94.0%
GSW 102, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%