NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	119		Excitement	5.9 [617]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +7.9%
Atlanta Hawks	109		Comeback	1.3 [680]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (ATL): -20.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.03	0.04	23	57%	0.08	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Sam Cassell	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.05	0.04	13	75%	0.18	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Danny Manning	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	-0.00	-0.07	13	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vinny Del Negro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Haywoode Workman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	17	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	5	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	11	36%	-0.10
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.09	6	93%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	12	62%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	13	61%	0.09	6	-0.17	5	80%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	10	43%	0.00	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.05	-0.02	22	40%	-0.05	6	-0.15	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	1.8	30.3	16.4	25.5	2.2	29.4	136.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +0.3%

MIL +15.6%

ATL -6.2%

MIL +40.7%

ATL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	12.8	15.2	113.3	103.8	101.7
season	14.9	15.4		105.5	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.4		105.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.8	14.1	12.8	18.0	14.6
ATL	13.8	11.6	13.4	12.5	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	77	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	1	8	14.2	15.5	-1.29	13.0	12.4	0.63
Tim Thomas	56	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	2	6	15.4	13.7	1.68	11.8	14.0	-2.14
Danny Manning	58	58	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	6	-2	15.2	13.9	1.30	11.5	14.5	-2.95
Sam Cassell	71	72	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.20	2	8	-6	14.2	15.5	-1.30	12.9	12.7	0.21
Dale Ellis	40	39	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	0	10	14.3	14.7	-0.39	12.1	13.3	-1.21
Robert Traylor	35	37	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	5	0	13.6	15.1	-1.49	14.4	12.0	2.34
Glenn Robinson	73	74	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.13	2	8	-6	15.2	13.1	2.15	13.7	10.8	2.84
J.R. Reid	50	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	3	4	13.9	15.2	-1.28	14.1	11.7	2.45
Vinny Del Negro	32	31	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	6	-2	15.7	14.1	1.67	12.9	12.8	0.05
Ervin Johnson	22	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	9	-8	13.9	14.8	-0.92	12.3	13.0	-0.72
Haywoode Workman	11	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	12	-14	13.5	14.7	-1.27	10.5	13.1	-2.66

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	8	8	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-10	10	7.2	13.3	-6.05	13.0	14.7	-1.72
Anthony Johnson	8	8	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-11	12	7.7	13.3	-5.51	10.9	14.9	-4.02
Dikembe Mutombo	83	82	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.23	2	-12	14	12.6	13.6	-0.95	14.9	13.4	1.48
Bimbo Coles	61	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-6	2	13.5	12.0	1.48	13.8	15.6	-1.73
Lorenzen Wright	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-4	-2	12.2	13.1	-0.92	14.4	14.6	-0.20
Roshown McLeod	63	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-8	6	13.4	12.0	1.48	14.5	14.8	-0.33
Cal Bowdler	7	8	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-2	-6	12.1	12.9	-0.74	19.2	14.2	5.04
Jason Terry	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	12.0	13.5	-1.48	15.6	13.8	1.73
Isaiah Rider	64	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	12.0	14.1	-2.15	15.6	12.9	2.77
Alan Henderson	90	89	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-4	-2	13.4	9.6	3.78	14.2	16.9	-2.70
Jim Jackson	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.10	-15	5	-20	14.2	10.3	3.92	14.0	15.7	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 114, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
UTA 112, SEA 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.4%
WAS 99, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%