inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 88 Excitement6.7 [273] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +18.8%
Golden State Warriors 81 Comeback2.7 [381] LVPErick Dampier (GSW): -16.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.190,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.030.13-0.032254%0.201-0.028100%0.08
David Robinson0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.030.001656%0.071-0.03978%0.01
Sean Elliott0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01957%0.0300.003100%0.02
Will Perdue0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mario Elie-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02762%0.021-0.037100%0.04
Jerome Kersey-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Malik Rose-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00150%-0.011-0.0220%-0.05
Avery Johnson-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.02-0.02337%0.023-0.06250%-0.00
Jaren Jackson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00721%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.0030%-0.071-0.0400%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.010.07-0.02850%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.001058%0.0500.00475%-0.00
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.01643%0.001-0.022100%0.02
Felton Spencer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0000%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Antawn Jamison0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.032346%-0.041-0.012100%0.02
John Starks0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.050.000.011437%-0.0600.00475%-0.01
Bimbo Coles0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.02812%-0.111-0.0100%0.00
Terry Cummings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.060.02825%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Chris Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.06-0.01643%-0.033-0.102100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.040.011029%-0.141-0.03475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.82.424.716.024.32.733.2129.1
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +49.3%
SAS +12.6%
GSW -14.5%
GSW -3.8%
SAS +6.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASGSWNBASASGSWNBA
this game16.616.015.896.794.299.6
season15.915.9101.195.1
opponent15.515.998.192.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.315.717.717.616.6
GSW16.016.315.016.616.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan82780.64-0.140.790.3211-41516.715.11.6116.015.60.38
David Robinson75710.62-0.120.730.2612-51716.616.30.3015.717.1-1.42
Avery Johnson73690.59-0.090.680.329-21116.616.30.2815.418.1-2.61
Sean Elliott67630.53-0.030.570.2111-41516.217.7-1.5016.115.70.37
Mario Elie63590.50-0.000.510.1811-41516.017.7-1.7215.616.9-1.29
Jaren Jackson37350.000.50-0.490.12-411-1517.416.01.3816.115.80.30
Jerome Kersey1515-0.040.54-0.580.08-411-1518.516.22.3616.715.80.93
Will Perdue66-0.080.58-0.660.07-512-1719.216.42.7918.215.82.37
Antonio Daniels1817-0.090.59-0.68-0.03-29-1116.316.6-0.2818.115.42.61
Malik Rose1917-0.180.68-0.86-0.06-411-1514.817.0-2.1716.115.90.12

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bimbo Coles44460.06-0.560.630.031-8915.416.5-1.1416.316.8-0.47
Felton Spencer990.02-0.520.54-0.042-91116.215.90.2911.217.1-5.92
Chris Mills3436-0.07-0.430.35-0.163-101316.915.31.6115.917.0-1.02
Adonal Foyle2425-0.10-0.400.29-0.04-2-5317.615.32.2416.316.7-0.33
Erick Dampier5154-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-3-116.115.70.3717.016.00.99
Terry Cummings4246-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.17-5-2-315.916.0-0.1616.816.30.49
Donyell Marshall5962-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.17-6-1-516.015.90.1116.915.81.18
John Starks5861-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.19-92-1115.217.6-2.4916.915.91.03
Antawn Jamison6771-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.29-70-715.517.7-2.2716.516.6-0.05
Muggsy Bogues4245-0.560.06-0.63-0.33-81-916.515.41.1416.816.30.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 85, PHI 740.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.27,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,092.4%
WAS 102, MIA 930.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.71,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.07,0.02,0,091.8%
GSW 102, VAN 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.16,091.1%