NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	4.5 [556]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +8.6%
Charlotte Hornets	84		Comeback	1.1 [340]		LVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): -11.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	7	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.03	8	75%	0.11	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	54%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	21	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.15	0.02	-0.07	12	37%	-0.02	3	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.05	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	4	75%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	0.04	17	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	15	51%	0.01	5	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	14	25%	-0.10	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	31.3	16.5	28.3	2.5	38.5	143.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +41.0%

NYK +2.7%

CHH -1.3%

NYK +6.4%

NYK +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHH	NBA	NYK	CHH	NBA
this game	15.1	16.9	15.8	100.0	94.4	99.6
season	16.0	15.7		97.0	99.2
opponent	15.5	16.6		99.4	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.7	17.3	16.5	13.3	15.1
CHH	17.7	17.9	17.0	15.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	76	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	0	7	15.5	13.2	2.26	16.6	18.6	-2.06
Latrell Sprewell	68	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	2	3	14.6	16.4	-1.74	16.8	17.2	-0.38
Chris Dudley	49	49	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	-4	15	15.7	14.4	1.31	17.8	15.9	1.83
Charlie Ward	61	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-2	11	15.0	15.3	-0.27	17.8	15.2	2.62
Allan Houston	47	49	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	1	5	15.6	14.5	1.09	16.4	17.6	-1.26
Chris Childs	57	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	8	-9	14.8	15.6	-0.80	16.5	17.7	-1.26
Marcus Camby	51	48	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.31	-4	11	-15	15.1	15.0	0.11	16.4	17.5	-1.12
Kurt Thomas	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	5	-3	14.4	15.8	-1.45	17.3	16.5	0.86

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chuck Person	24	25	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.32	13	-20	33	14.7	17.8	-3.10	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Ricky Davis	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-10	13	19.0	16.7	2.27	18.6	14.7	3.88
Chucky Brown	41	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-5	3	17.8	16.2	1.62	15.5	14.7	0.76
Eldridge Recasner	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	0	-7	16.1	17.3	-1.23	14.9	15.2	-0.28
Derrick Coleman	39	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	4	-15	17.4	16.6	0.85	15.5	14.8	0.65
David Wesley	82	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-5	3	17.3	12.6	4.73	14.9	17.7	-2.76
Bobby Phills	74	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	16.4	19.7	-3.29	14.6	17.3	-2.69
Eddie Jones	76	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	2	-11	16.9	17.3	-0.44	14.9	16.2	-1.33
Elden Campbell	72	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	7	-21	17.2	15.6	1.66	15.2	14.5	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 103, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
NJN 113, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
CHH 106, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%