NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	94		Excitement	7.6 [176]		MVP	Chris Mills (GSW): +13.4%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	2.3 [441]		LVP	Tariq Abdul-Wahad (SAC): -18.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.01	13	61%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Cummings	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	46%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
John Starks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	16	53%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	11	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	23	35%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0	0.00	-0.10	0.04	-0.07	26	44%	0.08	3	-0.08	5	20%	-0.04
Michael Hawkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	39%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.04	0.01	12	26%	-0.19	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.0	26.2	15.5	25.7	3.3	38.6	137.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -4.2%

SAC +26.4%

SAC +19.9%

SAC +6.9%

SAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	13.4	15.8	96.9	104.0	99.6
season	15.9	14.1		95.1	100.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.9	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	18.5	17.4	14.6	16.0
SAC	11.1	15.8	13.9	13.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	10	10	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-13	17	13.1	16.4	-3.26	15.7	13.1	2.57
Terry Cummings	47	46	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-12	15	15.0	17.0	-1.94	12.7	14.0	-1.22
Felton Spencer	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-7	5	16.7	16.0	0.71	14.9	13.2	1.68
Bimbo Coles	55	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-4	-1	15.5	16.7	-1.18	12.3	14.9	-2.62
Antawn Jamison	21	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	15.6	16.1	-0.51	13.0	13.5	-0.52
Tony Delk	24	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	18.2	15.3	2.96	13.4	13.4	-0.03
John Starks	73	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-7	5	15.3	18.2	-2.96	13.4	13.4	0.03
Chris Mills	73	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-5	1	16.4	14.8	1.63	13.6	13.0	0.59
Muggsy Bogues	42	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-5	1	16.7	15.5	1.18	14.9	12.3	2.62
Erick Dampier	59	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-2	-5	16.4	15.5	0.86	13.6	13.1	0.52
Donyell Marshall	72	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	7	-23	16.4	14.8	1.59	13.1	14.3	-1.24

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Maxwell	50	48	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.29	17	-8	25	13.8	13.0	0.74	17.1	15.0	2.10
Peja Stojakovic	47	46	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.24	16	-7	23	13.7	13.2	0.51	16.5	15.6	0.87
Vlade Divac	85	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	3	3	13.9	10.1	3.87	16.2	15.3	0.85
Chris Webber	92	90	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	3	3	12.9	19.6	-6.65	15.5	22.9	-7.37
Jason Williams	92	90	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	3	3	12.9	19.6	-6.65	15.5	22.9	-7.37
Lawrence Funderburke	18	19	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	3	3	14.9	13.0	1.90	20.0	15.1	4.95
Michael Hawkins	7	7	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	6	-3	19.6	12.9	6.65	22.9	15.5	7.37
Corliss Williamson	52	51	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	16	-23	13.2	13.7	-0.51	15.6	16.5	-0.87
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	52	53	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	17	-25	12.4	14.4	-2.00	14.3	18.1	-3.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.3,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 99, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.62,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	92.4%
SAS 79, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	92.4%
POR 101, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	92.1%