NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	5.5 [438]		MVP	Kornel David (CHI): +8.4%
Chicago Bulls	81		Comeback	1.5 [566]		LVP	Ron Harper (CHI): -18.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Johnny Newman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.02	0.09	16	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Wesley Person	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	9	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Brevin Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	56%	0.04	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kornel David	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.02	13	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	91%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Charles R. Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.05
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	15	42%	-0.14	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	6	44%	-0.09	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.01	13	32%	-0.16	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	28.2	15.6	27.5	2.4	30.4	128.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +33.4%

CLE +11.2%

CHI -1.2%

CLE +4.6%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	16.7	15.8	103.5	94.2	99.6
season	16.3	16.7		97.3	90.6
opponent	15.4	16.2		101.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.7	17.1	18.1	16.6	16.8
CHI	16.4	20.8	15.5	14.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	60	62	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	-1	10	16.4	17.7	-1.20	15.9	18.7	-2.76
Cedric Henderson	78	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	8	-8	16.3	21.5	-5.17	16.0	21.7	-5.69
Corie Blount	40	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	2	4	19.0	14.9	4.18	18.8	15.0	3.84
Mitchell Butler	37	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	2	4	18.1	15.9	2.22	18.3	15.5	2.81
Wesley Person	54	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	6	-4	16.5	17.3	-0.74	15.6	18.6	-3.03
Brevin Knight	57	60	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	4	0	16.5	17.4	-0.91	15.6	19.2	-3.66
Bob Sura	29	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	4	0	17.4	16.5	0.91	19.3	15.5	3.77
Andrew DeClercq	46	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	6	-4	14.9	19.0	-4.18	15.0	18.8	-3.84
Johnny Newman	3	4	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	0	8	18.7	16.7	1.92	28.7	16.1	12.66
Danny Ferry	26	24	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	9	-10	17.7	16.4	1.20	18.7	15.9	2.76

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Booth	12	14	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-13	18	18.7	16.3	2.41	19.6	16.3	3.38
Charles R. Jones	4	4	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-9	10	18.0	16.6	1.39	12.2	17.0	-4.79
Cory Carr	13	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-9	10	20.6	16.0	4.64	15.9	17.0	-1.14
Dickey Simpkins	52	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-8	8	15.5	18.4	-2.92	16.3	17.6	-1.23
Ron Harper	55	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-7	6	16.8	16.4	0.45	17.5	15.7	1.74
Rusty LaRue	56	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	17.3	15.6	1.70	17.4	15.8	1.63
Randy Brown	49	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	15.0	18.9	-3.99	16.4	17.3	-0.89
Kornel David	66	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-1	-6	16.1	18.7	-2.64	16.8	17.0	-0.18
Mark Bryant	49	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.14	-13	5	-18	18.4	14.4	4.08	17.0	16.5	0.54
Toni Kukoc	74	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	5	-18	16.3	18.7	-2.41	16.3	19.6	-3.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, WAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.1%
NOH 101, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.1%
SAS 91, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	94.1%