NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	101		Excitement	6.2 [551]		MVP	Baron Davis (NOH): +10.2%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	2.2 [605]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -25.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.02	-0.04	22	50%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.05	0.02	8	59%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jerome Moiso	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	10	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	17	60%	0.07	5	-0.11	11	82%	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	71%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	10	37%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	11	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	20	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.08	-0.00	12	31%	-0.12	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	26.4	16.4	22.3	1.8	33.3	124.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +42.6%

TOR -8.0%

NOH +23.5%

TOR -13.8%

NOH +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	TOR	NBA	NOH	TOR	NBA
this game	16.9	16.0	15.5	116.1	104.5	101.6
season	15.9	16.2		101.6	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		105.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.5	15.3	16.8	18.1	16.9
TOR	16.8	15.3	16.7	15.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	74	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-7	23	17.2	15.5	1.64	16.4	13.9	2.45
Jerome Moiso	35	35	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-4	17	18.1	16.2	1.93	16.5	15.7	0.78
Robert Traylor	34	33	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-2	13	18.0	16.2	1.80	16.8	15.5	1.23
Kenny Anderson	42	42	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	1	7	15.6	18.2	-2.58	15.0	16.9	-1.94
George Lynch	58	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	5	-1	16.8	17.2	-0.41	16.0	16.0	-0.02
Jamal Mashburn	70	72	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	12	-15	17.1	16.1	1.08	15.8	16.6	-0.78
Stacey Augmon	24	25	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	7	-5	16.2	17.2	-1.06	15.5	16.2	-0.71
P.J. Brown	52	53	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	13	-17	16.2	18.1	-1.93	15.7	16.5	-0.78
Jamaal Magloire	46	48	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	11	-13	17.2	16.6	0.56	16.2	15.7	0.53

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	66	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.17	3	-12	15	15.7	17.0	-1.29	16.2	19.2	-3.01
Antonio Davis	46	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-6	3	16.1	15.9	0.16	16.6	17.3	-0.73
Maceo Baston	12	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-9	9	18.0	15.7	2.33	22.7	15.9	6.77
Michael Bradley	71	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-5	1	15.8	16.9	-1.18	16.4	18.8	-2.45
Alvin Williams	66	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-4	-1	16.1	15.7	0.41	17.4	15.5	1.85
Rafer Alston	27	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-5	1	16.3	15.9	0.39	16.7	17.0	-0.29
Voshon Lenard	44	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	14.9	17.1	-2.16	16.8	17.0	-0.23
Jelani McCoy	40	40	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	1	-11	16.6	15.5	1.17	17.6	16.4	1.24
Vince Carter	68	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.11	-17	8	-25	16.2	15.1	1.15	16.6	18.1	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, CHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.1%
SAS 92, MIN 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
LAC 114, SAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.03,0,0.02,0,0	93.6%