NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	80		Excitement	8.2 [125]		MVP	Antonio Davis (IND): +7.5%
Indiana Pacers	83		Comeback	2.0 [458]		LVP	Horace Grant (ORL): -31.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	21	54%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
B.J. Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	58%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	40%	-0.06	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	5	70%	0.06	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2	-0.03	-0.17	0.00	14	50%	-0.13	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Horace Grant	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32	-0.14	-0.18	-0.00	11	29%	-0.14	3	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.04	0.01	7	50%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.04
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	12	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	8	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	6	31%	-0.06	1	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	14	52%	-0.00	3	-0.19	12	100%	0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	24.4	15.5	24.2	1.5	34.5	127.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +4.2%

IND +43.5%

ORL -3.2%

IND +1.0%

IND +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.8	89.9	92.2	99.6
season	16.1	16.4		98.0	105.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		101.2	95.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.6	17.0	17.1	14.7	15.8
IND	14.8	16.5	16.4	18.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	13	14	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-10	17	13.2	16.2	-2.99	17.2	16.2	0.98
Bo Outlaw	30	31	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-6	9	16.5	15.4	1.03	18.7	15.2	3.54
B.J. Armstrong	1	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-3	3	10.0	15.9	-5.85	0.0	16.6	-16.57
Matt Harpring	43	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	0	-3	16.0	15.6	0.46	15.6	17.1	-1.55
Derek Strong	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.33	4	-7	11	15.9	15.7	0.19	18.3	15.0	3.34
Nick Anderson	50	50	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.39	5	-8	13	14.3	17.7	-3.48	16.8	15.8	1.02
Anfernee Hardaway	83	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.45	3	-6	9	15.7	17.5	-1.84	16.4	16.0	0.42
Ike Austin	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	10	-23	16.8	14.2	2.66	15.5	17.7	-2.18
Horace Grant	73	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	1	-5	15.4	17.5	-2.09	15.9	18.7	-2.87
Darrell Armstrong	60	61	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.29	-17	14	-31	16.8	13.7	3.16	15.6	18.0	-2.33

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	58	58	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	-4	11	16.1	16.8	-0.71	15.5	16.3	-0.77
Reggie Miller	69	67	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-3	9	15.7	18.6	-2.85	15.6	16.3	-0.71
Dale Davis	59	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-2	7	15.9	17.4	-1.52	15.5	16.4	-0.88
Rik Smits	41	42	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	-4	11	16.2	16.5	-0.31	16.1	15.5	0.63
Jalen Rose	55	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.37	1	2	-1	17.2	15.1	2.13	15.2	16.7	-1.50
Chris Mullin	33	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	-5	13	14.7	17.4	-2.62	17.2	14.9	2.27
Antonio Davis	49	47	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	7	-11	16.5	16.2	0.31	15.5	16.1	-0.63
Sam Perkins	31	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	17.4	15.9	1.52	16.4	15.5	0.88
Travis Best	32	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	7	-11	16.8	16.1	0.71	16.3	15.5	0.77
Derrick McKey	23	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	12	-21	18.8	15.6	3.22	15.6	15.9	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.77,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.84,0.91,1	92.2%
GSW 99, DAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.46,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.99,1	92.0%
MIN 89, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	91.7%