NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	7.4 [309]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +30.0%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	1.9 [745]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -33.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.00	9	78%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	21	59%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Scott Brooks	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	2	117%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	4	54%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.04
Derek Anderson	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.27	-0.18	-0.09	-0.00	15	32%	-0.20	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	-0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33	-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	15	45%	-0.06	6	-0.27	10	60%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.06	0.26	0.02	6	93%	0.38	3	-0.08	2	100%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.06	-0.01	9	92%	0.32	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	71%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.11	-0.07	0.03	14	74%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.03
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	2	100%	0.05	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.20	0.00	-0.03	14	43%	-0.01	5	-0.17	16	69%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	64.6	1.8	28.3	15.3	23.8	1.8	34.4	170.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +56.4%

UTA +0.9%

CLE -15.8%

CLE -5.6%

UTA +14.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	16.1	15.6	103.1	111.6	102.5
season	15.4	15.9		99.4	108.1
opponent	15.9	16.0		102.1	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.5	14.4	16.1	13.1	14.0
UTA	16.3	13.3	15.2	20.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	20	19	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.06	4	-11	15	13.4	14.2	-0.81	18.1	15.6	2.41
Shawnelle Scott	2	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-6	5	21.0	13.9	7.11	12.0	16.2	-4.17
Scott Brooks	30	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-7	7	13.7	14.2	-0.50	15.9	16.2	-0.28
Danny Ferry	20	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-2	-3	14.2	14.0	0.26	12.4	17.1	-4.70
Brevin Knight	41	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-8	9	14.4	13.8	0.61	16.8	15.6	1.21
Wesley Person	81	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-2	-3	14.1	13.5	0.68	15.5	19.8	-4.29
Cedric Henderson	65	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	8	-23	14.1	14.0	0.06	15.9	16.6	-0.77
Shawn Kemp	69	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-6	5	13.8	14.7	-0.87	16.8	14.4	2.35
Derek Anderson	72	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	-2	-3	13.7	15.2	-1.56	16.6	14.7	1.91
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	80	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	1	-9	14.4	12.4	1.93	16.2	15.9	0.23

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	70	70	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.18	20	-13	33	15.9	16.9	-1.02	14.6	12.7	1.90
Jeff Hornacek	63	65	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.40	12	-5	17	15.3	17.7	-2.31	14.2	13.7	0.54
Karl Malone	77	79	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-9	25	15.6	18.6	-3.00	14.2	13.2	0.98
Adam Keefe	49	49	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	-2	11	15.9	16.4	-0.47	14.0	14.1	-0.17
Howard Eisley	28	28	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-3	13	15.7	16.3	-0.63	13.6	14.2	-0.66
John Stockton	67	68	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.32	-3	10	-13	16.3	15.7	0.63	14.2	13.6	0.66
Bryon Russell	48	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	9	-11	16.2	16.1	0.08	13.7	14.4	-0.75
Antoine Carr	18	17	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	16	-25	18.6	15.6	3.00	13.2	14.2	-0.98
Shandon Anderson	32	31	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.11	-5	12	-17	17.7	15.3	2.31	13.7	14.2	-0.54
Greg Foster	23	24	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.11	-13	20	-33	17.3	15.7	1.61	13.5	14.2	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.84,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, DEN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.83,1	92.6%
ORL 80, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.77,0.95,1	92.2%
NJN 89, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.59,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.96,1	91.4%