NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	99		Excitement	8.0 [234]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +16.4%
Dallas Mavericks	105		Comeback	1.7 [843]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (GSW): -27.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cardinal	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	12	72%	0.19	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	9	68%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.02	-0.08	-0.02	26	49%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Speedy Claxton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.02	12	54%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.2,-0.17	-0.00	-0.16	0.01	15	50%	-0.06	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.19	-0.09	-0.00	9	23%	-0.13	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.14	-0.01	19	53%	0.21	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	80%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	22	48%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	16	61%	0.09	5	-0.21	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	9	29%	-0.11	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.0	31.4	19.8	23.4	3.8	36.5	141.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +24.5%

DAL +17.8%

DAL +2.7%

DAL +6.9%

GSW -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.7	103.1	111.7	100.5
season	16.1	14.6		100.8	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.3	16.9	15.0	13.6	14.9
DAL	17.0	13.7	15.7	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	40	40	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-10	14	15.7	14.4	1.39	14.5	16.0	-1.49
Brian Cardinal	65	62	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.24	6	-12	18	14.2	16.4	-2.19	15.5	15.2	0.20
Speedy Claxton	11	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	2	-10	18.1	14.5	3.56	12.2	15.8	-3.63
Erick Dampier	49	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	1	-8	15.6	14.2	1.38	15.3	15.5	-0.16
Nick Van Exel	87	86	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-6	6	14.7	17.0	-2.28	15.7	12.5	3.15
Jason Richardson	87	85	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	3	-12	14.6	18.4	-3.87	15.3	16.0	-0.68
Clifford Robinson	82	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.32	-8	2	-10	14.9	15.1	-0.16	15.5	14.6	0.95
Mike Dunleavy	59	57	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	2	-10	14.9	15.0	-0.10	16.1	14.3	1.79

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	72	72	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.36	10	-4	14	15.5	15.0	0.50	14.8	15.2	-0.42
Antoine Walker	93	93	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-3	12	15.4	14.0	1.40	15.0	11.7	3.38
Michael Finley	94	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	15.4	0.0	15.38	14.9	0.0	14.94
Antawn Jamison	65	67	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.33	2	4	-2	15.2	15.8	-0.64	14.6	15.8	-1.18
Dirk Nowitzki	79	81	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	8	-10	15.7	13.9	1.72	14.8	15.7	-0.94
Tony Delk	37	41	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	1	4	14.1	16.2	-2.15	16.1	14.1	2.02
Danny Fortson	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	6	-6	16.4	14.9	1.44	14.5	15.2	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.46,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 80, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.77,0.95,1	92.0%
NJN 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.84,0.89,0.99,1	91.4%
LAL 98, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.62,0.78,0.94,0.9,1	91.2%