NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	79		Excitement	7.3 [204]		MVP	Chucky Brown (CHH): +15.2%
Charlotte Hornets	83		Comeback	3.5 [223]		LVP	Don Reid (DET): -28.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles O'Bannon	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	10	64%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	9	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Loy Vaught	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Khalid Reeves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Joe Dumars	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.11,0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2	-0.00	-0.17	0.02	13	52%	-0.07	1	-0.13	5	80%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	23	42%	-0.08	3	-0.14	2	0%	-0.09
Don Reid	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24,-0.29	-0.08	-0.21	0.00	4	36%	-0.13	1	-0.16	6	50%	-0.07

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	12	73%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.12	0.20	-0.03	8	40%	0.20	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.04
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	13	70%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Shackleford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.07	0.02	9	68%	-0.01	2	-0.06	13	77%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	11	37%	-0.18	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.4	28.6	15.5	28.2	1.6	39.2	137.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +42.2%

CHH +21.2%

DET -38.3%

CHH +21.1%

CHH +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHH	NBA	DET	CHH	NBA
this game	18.2	16.5	15.8	95.2	100.0	99.6
season	16.6	15.7		101.4	99.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		99.4	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.2	16.9	16.6	20.4	18.2
CHH	16.0	18.2	16.1	15.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles O'Bannon	50	50	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.41	16	-20	36	17.7	19.0	-1.31	16.7	16.0	0.71
Loy Vaught	8	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	0	-4	12.5	18.9	-6.35	14.1	16.7	-2.53
Eric Montross	45	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-7	10	18.3	18.1	0.20	17.0	15.8	1.15
Grant Hill	16	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	5	-14	18.9	18.1	0.86	16.2	16.5	-0.33
Khalid Reeves	10	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	4	-12	20.7	17.9	2.80	16.8	16.4	0.39
Bison Dele	17	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	4	-12	17.9	18.3	-0.45	17.8	16.1	1.69
Jerome Williams	46	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.34	3	-7	10	19.6	16.6	3.02	16.6	16.2	0.41
Joe Dumars	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-6	8	18.8	17.4	1.35	15.9	17.2	-1.32
Jud Buechler	49	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	1	-6	16.4	20.8	-4.37	16.1	16.9	-0.77
Don Reid	49	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-2	0	18.3	18.1	0.21	16.0	17.2	-1.19
Lindsey Hunter	76	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.37	-8	4	-12	18.7	13.6	5.10	16.6	14.7	1.90

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	71	73	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.32	12	-8	20	16.1	18.4	-2.29	18.4	16.8	1.64
Eddie Jones	79	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.31	10	-6	16	16.2	21.5	-5.30	18.0	22.2	-4.21
Chucky Brown	79	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.31	10	-6	16	16.2	21.5	-5.30	18.0	22.2	-4.21
Elden Campbell	79	80	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-6	16	16.2	21.5	-5.30	18.2	19.3	-1.13
David Wesley	62	64	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-6	16	15.5	19.2	-3.66	19.2	14.9	4.34
Corey Beck	14	13	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	3	-2	16.6	16.4	0.22	12.6	19.3	-6.67
Charles Shackleford	4	3	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	10	-16	21.5	16.2	5.30	19.3	18.2	1.13
Chuck Person	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	10	-16	21.5	16.2	5.30	22.2	18.0	4.21
Ricky Davis	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	10	-16	21.5	16.2	5.30	22.2	18.0	4.21
Brad Miller	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	10	-16	21.5	16.2	5.30	22.2	18.0	4.21
Eldridge Recasner	15	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	13	-22	20.3	15.6	4.73	16.5	18.5	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.46,0.33,0.52,0.22,0.43,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.57,0.84,1	91.2%
SAC 102, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.15,0.32,0.73,1	91.1%
WAS 96, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.4,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	90.8%