inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 96 Excitement7.8 [268] MVPTracy McGrady (ORL): +38.8%
Orlando Magic 99 Comeback3.4 [567] LVPChris Whitney (WAS): -28.0%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Etan Thomas0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01564%0.0300.001100%0.00
Tyrone Nesby0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.04-0.01950%0.052-0.04475%0.01
Christian Laettner0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.001060%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Hubert Davis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.030.00673%0.062-0.073100%0.01
Courtney Alexander-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02-0.030.00-0.011050%0.011-0.02683%-0.06
Tyronn Lue-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.070.05-0.120.00972%0.062-0.1300%0.00
Popeye Jones-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02617%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.170,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17-0.01-0.140.022154%-0.073-0.106100%0.09
Chris Whitney-0.280,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28-0.11-0.19-0.0268%-0.251-0.031100%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.390.390.170.20-0.012968%0.533-0.141567%0.00
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.00771%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00267%0.0100.002100%0.01
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.030.01675%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.01-0.01956%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Patrick Ewing0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01340%-0.0400.00450%-0.03
Horace Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.02811%-0.1200.0020%-0.07
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.12-0.11-0.001023%-0.161-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.428.316.627.22.834.7136.2
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +66.4%
WAS -33.1%
ORL +0.5%
ORL +16.7%
WAS -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASORLNBAWASORLNBA
this game16.414.515.6103.2106.5102.3
season16.514.6102.2104.6
opponent15.815.3103.3103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS17.018.614.515.916.4
ORL12.315.014.916.114.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brendan Haywood52500.45-0.951.400.1610-132315.517.6-2.0415.613.32.36
Tyrone Nesby45450.06-0.560.62-0.2410-132315.417.4-2.0615.313.91.39
Etan Thomas1616-0.04-0.460.43-0.040-3316.716.40.3212.914.9-1.95
Hubert Davis2020-0.07-0.430.37-0.070-3316.516.40.1713.214.9-1.72
Christian Laettner4746-0.20-0.300.100.01-74-1116.516.40.1013.915.2-1.34
Tyronn Lue5454-0.23-0.270.04-0.468-111916.416.5-0.1214.414.7-0.25
Courtney Alexander7272-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.32-52-716.516.00.4814.913.21.69
Chris Whitney5051-0.500.00-0.50-0.21-107-1716.915.90.9513.815.5-1.74
Richard Hamilton6566-0.590.09-0.68-0.30-107-1716.616.10.4514.913.81.09
Popeye Jones4445-0.920.42-1.34-0.60-118-1917.515.42.1414.414.7-0.24

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong74750.63-0.130.750.369-61514.315.6-1.3016.117.7-1.55
Pat Garrity69710.62-0.120.730.2413-102314.115.9-1.8417.114.22.87
Tracy McGrady80810.56-0.060.620.357-41114.614.20.3716.615.41.15
Jud Buechler18170.400.100.290.51-47-1114.414.6-0.2015.616.6-1.02
Troy Hudson54520.310.190.120.43-47-1115.013.91.1715.917.1-1.26
Horace Grant55530.290.210.090.068-51314.414.7-0.3216.616.10.47
Mike Miller12120.140.36-0.22-0.077-41112.814.8-1.9719.715.93.73
Don Reid13120.050.45-0.400.0503-315.614.41.2418.316.12.20
Andrew DeClercq88-0.040.54-0.580.02-25-714.014.6-0.6014.616.6-1.96
Patrick Ewing1818-0.190.69-0.890.07-912-2115.114.40.7014.316.9-2.66
Monty Williams6466-0.260.76-1.020.03-1013-2315.113.41.6516.217.0-0.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.4,0.54,0.45,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 97, DEN 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.73,0.77,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.54,0.77,0.42,192.1%
WAS 85, MIL 910.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.58,191.8%
DEN 92, ATL 970.5,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.74,0.66,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.71,0.57,0.42,191.6%