NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	4.5 [562]		MVP	Brent Price (HOU): +17.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	1.1 [722]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -13.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Price	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.06	-0.02	10	76%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.03	-0.04	15	59%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Othella Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	74%	0.12	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Charles Barkley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	63%	0.05	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	12	46%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Scottie Pippen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	60%	0.01	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	-0.00	0.06	14	77%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	12	68%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	16	57%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	11	35%	-0.03	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	30%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	10	30%	-0.10	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	27.2	16.5	27.5	2.4	26.6	125.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +49.0%

LAC -10.8%

HOU +13.1%

LAC -3.3%

HOU +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	16.3	16.6	15.8	119.5	108.0	99.6
season	16.0	16.7		103.1	97.5
opponent	14.7	15.6		107.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.9	16.7	17.7	17.2	16.3
LAC	16.7	16.0	16.6	17.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	63	64	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.10	18	-9	27	17.6	13.0	4.60	16.9	15.7	1.26
Michael Dickerson	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	-1	11	15.9	21.0	-5.14	16.7	15.6	1.14
Brent Price	54	56	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-1	11	16.6	15.9	0.63	16.2	17.3	-1.10
Scottie Pippen	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-1	11	15.7	20.4	-4.61	16.7	16.0	0.66
Othella Harrington	50	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	4	1	14.8	18.4	-3.61	16.0	17.3	-1.35
Hakeem Olajuwon	61	63	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.26	-5	14	-19	16.3	16.5	-0.18	16.7	16.3	0.42
Cuttino Mobley	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.14	-2	11	-13	16.9	15.8	1.12	16.9	16.3	0.60
Matt Bullard	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	10	-11	20.4	15.7	4.61	16.0	16.7	-0.66

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	51	52	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.16	6	-15	21	17.1	15.9	1.23	16.0	16.9	-0.88
Charles Smith	7	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-10	11	16.9	16.6	0.30	21.0	15.9	5.14
Eric Piatkowski	45	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-11	13	16.6	16.5	0.13	15.7	17.0	-1.27
Brian Skinner	3	2	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-6	3	11.3	16.8	-5.43	19.5	16.3	3.24
Troy Hudson	17	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	16.1	16.7	-0.57	12.5	17.3	-4.73
Maurice Taylor	66	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-12	15	16.9	15.7	1.20	16.1	17.1	-1.01
Rodney Rogers	22	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	3	-15	15.7	16.9	-1.20	17.1	16.1	1.01
Darrick Martin	71	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-5	1	16.7	16.1	0.57	17.3	12.5	4.73
Lamond Murray	29	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	1	-11	16.8	16.5	0.32	16.1	16.4	-0.31
Tyrone Nesby	81	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	1	-11	16.6	16.9	-0.30	15.9	21.0	-5.14
Lorenzen Wright	48	46	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	4	-17	16.2	17.1	-0.91	17.3	15.2	2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 111, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
MIL 122, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
CHI 110, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%