inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 122 Excitement4.7 [917] MVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +16.6%
Dallas Mavericks 107 Comeback1.1 [1121] LVPTim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): -7.1%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.170,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.160.030.021972%0.213-0.052100%0.01
Brook Lopez0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.02-0.011467%0.132-0.022100%0.00
Eric Bledsoe0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.030.021369%0.122-0.0300%0.00
Sterling Brown0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.00-0.02862%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.08-0.010.041464%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Pat Connaughton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.02540%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.02467%0.052-0.034100%0.02
George Hill0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Trevon Duval0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Snell-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01633%-0.0100.0000%0.00
D.J. Wilson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.01631%-0.031-0.02450%-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luka Doncic0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.03-0.031457%0.142-0.03743%-0.03
Trey Burke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.01975%0.123-0.04683%0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.00-0.01764%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Ryan Broekhoff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.02-0.00-0.02650%0.0400.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.01955%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.05680%0.032-0.013100%0.01
Daryl Macon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01933%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jalen Brunson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01642%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.02437%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.010.031246%0.003-0.07250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.51.525.314.729.51.828.4124.6
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +26.9%
DAL -1.1%
MIL +19.3%
MIL +2.6%
MIL +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDALNBAMILDALNBA
this game14.614.514.3124.5107.0109.3
season13.514.7112.4108.5
opponent14.114.3109.7104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL13.315.014.615.714.6
DAL12.916.313.715.714.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Giannis Antetokounmpo62630.56-0.060.63-0.1725-103514.015.6-1.6716.111.74.41
Eric Bledsoe54560.56-0.060.63-0.0822-72913.615.8-2.2916.511.94.60
Malcolm Brogdon51560.400.100.29-0.1318-32113.815.4-1.6614.814.10.67
Brook Lopez57550.390.110.28-0.0816-11714.015.4-1.3515.713.12.62
Pat Connaughton37370.330.170.170.0796314.814.40.3714.314.6-0.29
Tony Snell41410.260.240.02-0.0096313.615.3-1.7115.313.91.41
Sterling Brown59580.050.45-0.410.22-621-2715.413.32.0713.815.5-1.79
Ersan Ilyasova38410.040.46-0.420.13-318-2115.713.91.8412.915.6-2.68
Trevon Duval220.000.50-0.50-0.06213-1111.514.6-3.158.514.6-6.13
George Hill4546-0.030.53-0.560.09-419-2316.013.32.7012.616.1-3.52
D.J. Wilson4445-0.070.57-0.630.32-1328-4115.713.71.9611.916.6-4.73

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trey Burke56550.12-0.620.74-0.3215-304512.317.3-5.0115.813.02.82
Dirk Nowitzki39380.11-0.610.71-0.3014-294312.315.9-3.6515.314.11.16
Daryl Macon66-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-151510.214.8-4.6217.014.42.58
Courtney Lee89-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-161711.714.7-3.0017.614.33.27
Justin Jackson89-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-161711.714.7-3.0017.614.33.27
Devin Harris3535-0.11-0.390.29-0.141-161713.315.1-1.8015.014.40.61
Dwight Powell4345-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-3-12913.215.5-2.2814.714.50.24
Ryan Broekhoff3839-0.14-0.360.22-0.171-161713.415.2-1.7615.314.11.21
Maxi Kleber5147-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-12-3-916.112.83.2814.115.0-0.83
Jalen Brunson5249-0.39-0.11-0.280.14-183-2115.613.32.3013.815.4-1.61
Tim Hardaway Jr.5754-0.39-0.11-0.290.11-172-1915.613.02.5713.815.5-1.67
Luka Doncic5453-0.590.09-0.680.23-2813-4116.512.24.3313.515.8-2.34
Dorian Finney-Smith5351-0.610.11-0.710.27-3015-4516.612.24.3713.515.7-2.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 111, IND 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,095.1%
IND 114, BKN 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.9%
HOU 104, LAC 950.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,094.9%