NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	88		Excitement	4.6 [542]		MVP	Bryant Stith (DEN): +10.1%
Denver Nuggets	100		Comeback	1.0 [688]		LVP	Danny Fortson (DEN): -21.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Troy Hudson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	8	80%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	61%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Brian Skinner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Rodney Rogers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0.05	7	63%	-0.04	1	-0.02	13	69%	-0.04
Lamond Murray	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	9	35%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	13	36%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Michael Olowokandi	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.21	-0.03	-0.08	11	25%	-0.08	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.03	-0.03	7	75%	0.10	2	-0.00	6	83%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	16	63%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.02	0.03	18	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	20	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Johnny Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	5	0%	-0.08	7	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	18.3	2.4	35.4	14.7	27.3	2.5	28.2	128.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +22.7%

DEN +7.3%

DEN +7.6%

DEN +4.1%

DEN +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	15.8	90.7	102.0	99.6
season	16.7	15.5		97.5	100.7
opponent	15.6	14.7		107.6	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	12.9	15.3	15.6	14.7
DEN	14.8	13.8	14.1	17.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	11	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	14.7	14.7	0.04	16.0	14.7	1.27
Brian Skinner	21	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-15	18	13.5	15.0	-1.55	16.6	14.4	2.20
Tyrone Nesby	47	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-8	4	15.6	13.8	1.80	14.5	15.2	-0.62
Rodney Rogers	41	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-10	8	14.6	14.8	-0.22	16.7	13.6	3.02
Lorenzen Wright	38	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	13.8	15.3	-1.52	16.2	14.0	2.24
Troy Hudson	48	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-8	4	14.5	14.9	-0.42	16.0	13.8	2.21
Darrick Martin	49	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-4	-4	14.9	14.5	0.42	13.8	16.0	-2.21
Michael Olowokandi	59	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-5	-2	15.3	13.8	1.52	14.0	16.2	-2.24
Eric Piatkowski	55	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-1	-10	14.6	14.8	-0.13	14.0	16.1	-2.12
Maurice Taylor	63	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	1	-14	15.2	13.7	1.56	13.8	17.1	-3.29
Lamond Murray	53	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-3	-6	13.8	15.7	-1.86	15.2	14.5	0.76

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	4	4	14.8	15.3	-0.54	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Nick Van Exel	85	82	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	3	6	14.7	16.1	-1.42	14.9	13.5	1.37
Carl Herrera	42	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-2	16	13.7	15.7	-1.98	13.6	15.5	-1.96
Bryant Stith	76	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	-2	16	15.3	13.4	1.91	15.1	13.3	1.79
Danny Fortson	71	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	5	2	14.8	14.9	-0.11	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Antonio McDyess	72	73	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	2	8	14.7	15.3	-0.57	15.6	11.9	3.74
Johnny Taylor	25	26	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.04	7	5	2	16.1	14.4	1.66	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Eric Washington	27	26	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	14	-16	13.4	15.4	-2.04	14.7	14.7	0.00
Keon Clark	11	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	19	-26	20.4	14.1	6.21	13.6	14.8	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, LAL 117	0.5,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
BOS 89, LAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DEN 86, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%