inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 79 Excitement3.4 [676] MVPErick Strickland (DAL): +9.4%
Dallas Mavericks 98 Comeback1.0 [679] LVPNick Van Exel (DEN): -16.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Johnny Taylor0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.01-0.01856%0.0500.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.00-0.05954%0.0410.00875%0.01
Danny Fortson-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.041146%0.002-0.02250%0.00
Bryant Stith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03445%0.012-0.033100%0.01
Cory Alexander-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.011100%0.014-0.062100%0.01
Chauncey Billups-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.020.021543%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Keon Clark-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.03525%-0.031-0.02250%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.140,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.020.021546%-0.074-0.07580%-0.00
Nick Van Exel-0.170,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.02-0.031117%-0.152-0.0220%-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.01974%0.0900.005100%0.01
Michael Finley0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.020.032257%0.0800.003100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.01489%0.052-0.011100%0.00
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01967%0.093-0.0700%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.04-0.00-0.05743%0.042-0.0300%0.00
Hot Rod Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Anstey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Gary Trent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.021150%-0.0000.002100%0.01
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.01856%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.624.215.723.11.725.0116.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +48.0%
DAL +5.6%
DEN -6.0%
DAL +4.0%
DEN -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game16.116.515.889.8110.199.6
season15.515.9100.799.7
opponent15.615.6102.3107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.217.719.316.116.1
DAL15.517.414.319.116.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keon Clark2424-0.06-0.440.390.03-3-161315.716.2-0.4916.416.5-0.13
Cory Alexander1517-0.14-0.360.210.09-8-11317.515.81.7710.817.8-6.98
Eric Williams4949-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-12516.016.1-0.1116.416.5-0.05
Danny Fortson4748-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.09-6-13716.216.00.2217.515.32.19
Bryant Stith5354-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-13-6-715.816.5-0.6515.817.6-1.81
Chauncey Billups6969-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.08-8-11316.016.3-0.2517.712.35.38
Nick Van Exel6665-0.36-0.14-0.210.05-14-5-915.816.8-1.0017.314.23.10
Antonio McDyess7274-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-12-7-515.518.4-2.9016.416.7-0.31
Johnny Taylor4545-0.50-0.00-0.490.21-245-2917.314.82.5415.517.5-1.99

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Finley76750.51-0.010.52-0.2827-83515.721.0-5.3016.314.51.89
Hubert Davis71700.360.140.210.18613-716.914.62.3315.518.3-2.85
Hot Rod Williams31300.330.170.16-0.02127515.317.1-1.7618.314.93.39
Steve Nash66660.330.170.16-0.05136716.416.6-0.1315.717.1-1.36
Gary Trent44430.320.180.13-0.211811715.018.0-3.0016.016.2-0.18
Erick Strickland47460.300.200.10-0.11145916.216.8-0.6417.114.92.18
Shawn Bradley45470.250.250.00-0.13136716.916.00.8416.016.2-0.24
Dirk Nowitzki29270.170.33-0.150.09316-1316.816.30.4816.715.80.86
Chris Anstey770.000.50-0.500.09-322-2522.416.06.4715.316.1-0.85
Samaki Walker770.000.50-0.500.09-322-2522.416.06.4715.316.1-0.85
A.C. Green2222-0.080.58-0.650.07-524-2918.016.01.9713.017.1-4.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 98, SAS 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,196.1%
CHA 90, DET 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,196.0%
NOH 80, LAC 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%