NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	90		Excitement	6.5 [294]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +19.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	84		Comeback	3.5 [81]		LVP	Larry Hughes (PHI): -30.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	7	86%	0.23	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	6	86%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.05	0.01	23	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ron Mercer	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	21	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Greg Minor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Dwayne Schintzius	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	11	25%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	65%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	2	83%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	68%	0.11	3	-0.12	6	50%	-0.02
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	39%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	39%	-0.07	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	10	25%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.3	-0.30	-0.23	-0.07	0.00	19	41%	-0.11	6	-0.20	13	46%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	25.5	15.3	30.4	2.5	41.5	140.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +12.8%

BOS +7.1%

PHI -4.9%

BOS +36.8%

PHI -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	16.9	15.8	101.1	93.3	99.6
season	15.0	15.6		98.1	97.0
opponent	15.9	15.8		94.8	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	15.2	14.8	15.8	15.3
PHI	15.9	19.9	17.2	14.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Mercer	83	84	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-1	8	15.3	15.2	0.15	16.5	22.0	-5.50
Vitaly Potapenko	63	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-2	10	15.0	16.0	-1.04	17.9	14.2	3.75
Greg Minor	40	38	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-4	14	15.1	15.4	-0.28	15.7	17.7	-2.00
Dana Barros	41	39	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-1	8	15.5	15.1	0.34	15.9	17.6	-1.62
Antoine Walker	84	87	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	1	4	15.4	14.4	0.96	16.7	22.0	-5.31
Tony Battie	26	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	7	-8	16.4	14.8	1.58	15.7	17.3	-1.64
Bruce Bowen	8	9	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	6	-6	13.4	15.5	-2.12	17.3	16.8	0.52
Paul Pierce	49	52	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	10	-14	15.4	15.1	0.28	17.7	15.7	2.00
Dwayne Schintzius	3	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	7	-8	15.3	15.3	0.03	12.0	17.0	-5.03
Kenny Anderson	48	49	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	7	-8	15.1	15.5	-0.34	18.0	15.6	2.40

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harvey Grant	31	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-9	12	15.4	17.6	-2.21	15.0	15.5	-0.47
George Lynch	63	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-13	20	16.3	18.2	-1.88	15.0	16.0	-0.97
Tyrone Hill	63	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-4	2	18.4	13.3	5.10	15.7	14.4	1.28
Matt Geiger	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	0	-6	15.8	17.7	-1.85	16.3	14.6	1.72
Jerald Honeycutt	23	21	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	9	-24	17.9	16.5	1.35	14.1	15.7	-1.58
Aaron McKie	81	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-2	-2	16.3	21.6	-5.21	15.3	15.0	0.34
Theo Ratliff	71	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	-1	-4	17.0	16.5	0.43	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Larry Hughes	79	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	2	-10	17.3	13.5	3.89	15.3	15.5	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.02,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.6%
TOR 101, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0	93.2%
POR 94, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.8%