NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	86		Excitement	7.5 [184]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +2.9%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	2.5 [430]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -20.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.01	10	58%	0.10	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Tracy Murray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.13,-0.05	0.14	-0.17	0.02	22	70%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Jeff McInnis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	47%	-0.08	1	-0.02	9	22%	-0.16
Rod Strickland	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	15	44%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	3	0%	-0.12	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Juwan Howard	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.21	-0.17	-0.04	-0.01	20	31%	-0.13	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	48%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	10	41%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.01	8	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	12	58%	0.07	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	10	46%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	32.5	15.6	21.5	2.4	37.4	135.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.7%

IND +1.2%

WAS -10.5%

IND +27.9%

IND +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	16.9	15.8	94.5	98.9	99.6
season	15.5	16.4		98.8	105.4
opponent	16.0	15.9		101.2	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	13.3	14.9	15.2	14.8
IND	17.9	18.6	17.8	13.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Davis	26	26	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-6	8	17.2	13.8	3.42	19.0	16.0	2.95
Tim Legler	7	7	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-5	6	11.0	15.1	-4.11	15.9	16.9	-1.08
Jeff McInnis	12	14	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-8	12	16.8	14.5	2.35	19.1	16.5	2.62
Tracy Murray	3	2	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-1	-2	13.7	14.8	-1.16	10.5	17.0	-6.50
Ben Wallace	56	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-4	4	14.5	15.3	-0.76	17.2	16.4	0.84
Mitch Richmond	80	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.31	2	-6	8	14.6	15.9	-1.27	16.9	16.3	0.63
Otis Thorpe	70	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	2	-8	15.1	13.9	1.15	17.2	15.4	1.88
Rod Strickland	79	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	4	-12	14.5	16.8	-2.35	16.5	19.1	-2.62
Calbert Cheaney	44	44	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.50	-3	-1	-2	14.4	15.2	-0.78	15.5	18.1	-2.63
Juwan Howard	78	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.33	-9	5	-14	14.7	15.2	-0.51	16.5	19.2	-2.66

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	55	52	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.45	9	-5	14	16.2	17.8	-1.62	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Travis Best	40	40	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.48	4	0	4	15.3	18.0	-2.69	14.5	15.0	-0.56
Reggie Miller	65	67	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	0	4	16.4	18.0	-1.55	15.2	13.7	1.47
Sam Perkins	38	39	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	0	4	17.0	16.8	0.25	15.5	14.3	1.22
Antonio Davis	52	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	6	-8	16.2	17.7	-1.46	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Dale Davis	47	44	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	2	0	17.0	16.7	0.30	14.4	15.1	-0.74
Rik Smits	44	45	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.09	4	0	4	17.6	16.1	1.46	15.1	14.5	0.59
Fred Hoiberg	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	4.0	17.0	-13.00	0.0	15.0	-14.96
Mark Jackson	51	51	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.09	0	4	-4	18.0	15.3	2.69	15.0	14.5	0.56
Chris Mullin	52	53	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.09	0	4	-4	18.0	15.3	2.67	14.8	14.8	-0.04
Austin Croshere	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	9	-14	17.3	16.8	0.50	13.6	14.9	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.43,0.53,0.67,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.93,0.86,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.95,1,1,0.97,1	92.7%
PHI 81, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1	92.3%
MIL 89, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	92.3%