inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 115 Excitement5.9 [372] MVPDerek Harper (LAL): +26.9%
Orlando Magic 104 Comeback30.6 [24] LVPNick Anderson (ORL): -17.8%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Harper0.270,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.140.130.001091%0.292-0.03250%-0.00
Kobe Bryant0.230,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.230.130.160.062469%0.334-0.10786%0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0.190,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.090.08-0.021965%0.211-0.021030%-0.07
Dennis Rodman0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Sean Rooks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Derek Fisher-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Glen Rice-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.020.031254%0.083-0.1100%0.00
Robert Horry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Travis Knight-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0100%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Ruben Patterson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.00333%-0.012-0.0500%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.080.110.001469%0.212-0.034100%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.070.070.06-0.02-0.041071%0.142-0.074100%0.02
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.020.011960%0.051-0.01475%-0.01
Derek Strong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.020.01861%0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Horace Grant0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.03-0.01860%0.033-0.03450%-0.00
B.J. Armstrong00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.01520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Ike Austin0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.07-0.01850%-0.071-0.01450%-0.05
Nick Anderson0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.17-0.03-0.021418%-0.152-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.629.219.723.62.037.0138.0
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +72.8%
ORL -0.1%
ORL -7.5%
ORL -14.3%
ORL -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALORLNBALALORLNBA
this game14.517.015.8125.0114.399.6
season14.916.1104.798.0
opponent15.615.895.7102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL14.217.512.014.514.5
ORL16.514.619.317.617.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal78770.89-0.391.280.2522-113315.011.83.1917.812.55.32
Kobe Bryant85850.58-0.080.650.1415-41914.217.4-3.1817.214.32.85
Glen Rice73720.440.060.390.15101914.215.4-1.1716.419.2-2.73
Dennis Rodman46430.420.080.340.3047-315.213.71.5016.217.7-1.59
Derek Harper63640.420.080.33-0.0215-41914.314.9-0.6517.017.0-0.05
Ruben Patterson15140.150.35-0.19-0.0265114.914.40.5320.216.43.80
Derek Fisher29270.080.42-0.330.20-415-1914.914.30.6517.017.00.05
Travis Knight2425-0.060.56-0.610.03-314-1713.015.0-2.0716.617.2-0.55
Robert Horry3131-0.060.56-0.62-0.2774313.415.0-1.6116.917.1-0.20
Rick Fox1111-0.170.67-0.850.09-920-2917.414.13.2615.217.2-2.07
Sean Rooks56-0.190.69-0.880.04-819-2714.014.5-0.5214.817.2-2.32

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Strong35360.19-0.690.88-0.1913-243716.317.4-1.1615.313.91.39
Michael Doleac63620.10-0.600.690.042-131516.019.2-3.1514.115.3-1.20
B.J. Armstrong21-0.02-0.480.460.10-4-7312.017.1-5.119.014.5-5.55
Matt Harpring5455-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-121-1317.516.31.1413.116.5-3.39
Darrell Armstrong6162-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.474-151916.518.1-1.6415.412.62.85
Anfernee Hardaway8485-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.21-7-4-317.214.03.2514.416.1-1.79
Nick Anderson7273-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-143-1717.017.2-0.2015.012.72.27
Ike Austin2830-0.600.10-0.69-0.22-132-1519.216.03.1515.314.11.20
Horace Grant5656-0.690.19-0.880.01-2413-3717.416.31.1613.915.3-1.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.06,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 119, IND 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.25,0.36,0.15,0.05,093.3%
MIN 113, LAL 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.4,0.46,0.16,0.02,0,091.0%
NJN 86, CHI 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.04,090.6%