NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	119		Excitement	6.9 [472]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +35.8%
Indiana Pacers	114		Comeback	50.3 [44]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -22.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.36	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.36	0.16	0.21	0.01	27	60%	0.42	3	-0.06	14	50%	-0.16
Channing Frye	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25	0.12	0.13	-0.00	7	76%	0.25	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Kyle Korver	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.02	7	86%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	1	125%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JR Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	9	65%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.00	0.07	12	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	17	33%	-0.07	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.13	0.02	28	54%	0.24	1	-0.01	11	100%	0.04
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	62%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	60%	0.12	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	10	55%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22	-0.23	-0.10	-0.16	-0.04	12	25%	-0.12	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.6	34.3	17.5	30.3	3.5	43.5	158.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +52.9%

IND -18.1%

IND -7.0%

CLE +19.0%

CLE +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	16.3	14.8	126.6	121.3	107.7
season	14.9	14.9		113.5	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.7		108.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.1	14.0	14.4	13.0	14.4
IND	13.9	13.7	19.9	18.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	45	46	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.33	17	-12	29	12.8	15.8	-3.04	16.7	15.9	0.82
Channing Frye	36	38	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-6	17	13.8	14.7	-0.89	17.0	15.8	1.21
LeBron James	87	87	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-8	21	14.7	10.4	4.27	16.7	10.9	5.83
Kyle Korver	46	47	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.54	-3	8	-11	13.3	15.4	-2.07	15.4	17.1	-1.70
Iman Shumpert	27	26	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	9	-13	13.2	14.9	-1.68	18.7	15.3	3.37
JR Smith	61	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	-9	23	14.7	13.8	0.87	15.9	16.9	-1.03
Dahntay Jones	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	7	-9	3.0	14.5	-11.51	0.0	16.4	-16.43
Tristan Thompson	55	54	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	4	-3	14.4	14.4	-0.00	16.2	16.3	-0.08
Kevin Love	50	49	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.21	5	0	5	16.1	12.4	3.67	16.6	15.9	0.62
Richard Jefferson	9	8	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.15	-12	17	-29	11.6	14.7	-3.13	11.4	16.7	-5.33
Kyrie Irving	53	52	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.07	-15	20	-35	15.8	12.5	3.32	15.4	17.3	-1.86

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	48	50	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.17	8	-13	21	16.0	16.6	-0.61	13.4	15.5	-2.01
Glenn Robinson III	20	18	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-6	7	16.5	16.2	0.31	11.7	15.0	-3.29
Kevin Seraphin	35	35	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.07	-1	-4	3	17.0	15.8	1.14	12.5	15.5	-3.02
Monta Ellis	35	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.24	7	-12	19	15.5	16.7	-1.14	14.2	14.5	-0.22
Jeff Teague	62	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	16.0	16.8	-0.80	14.7	13.7	1.00
Thaddeus Young	76	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	6	-17	16.2	16.3	-0.10	15.0	11.6	3.43
Myles Turner	59	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.42	-4	-1	-3	15.8	17.0	-1.14	15.5	12.5	3.02
CJ Miles	49	47	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	7	-19	16.5	16.0	0.58	14.6	14.2	0.38
Paul George	86	86	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	5	-15	16.7	11.4	5.33	14.6	11.9	2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.25,0.36,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.06,0,0	93.3%
PHX 103, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.58,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.23,0.17,0	92.1%
SEA 84, LAC 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.31,0.36,0.14,0.16,0	91.2%