NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	5.7 [414]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +10.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	2.7 [168]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -12.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	46%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Robert Horry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Rick Fox	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.02	16	64%	0.10	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Derek Harper	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	6	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	13	61%	0.02	5	-0.15	12	58%	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.03	36	53%	0.17	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	81%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	3	83%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.01	7	52%	-0.02	3	-0.06	7	43%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	0.8	32.3	14.8	28.2	2.5	36.2	142.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.9%

LAL -16.7%

PHI +14.7%

PHI +20.6%

PHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	15.8	91.8	107.1	99.6
season	14.9	15.6		104.7	97.0
opponent	15.9	15.8		94.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.7	12.0	19.1	15.7	15.0
PHI	14.6	15.7	12.2	15.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	36	37	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-21	27	14.6	15.2	-0.64	13.7	14.9	-1.12
J.R. Reid	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-14	13	13.4	15.6	-2.24	15.5	14.0	1.55
Derek Fisher	45	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-11	7	15.8	14.2	1.60	14.3	14.6	-0.28
Travis Knight	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-5	-5	14.6	15.3	-0.70	14.8	14.1	0.67
Shaquille O'Neal	59	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-8	1	15.4	14.4	1.00	15.4	12.9	2.50
Robert Horry	25	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-12	9	17.4	14.1	3.28	13.1	14.9	-1.76
Sean Rooks	38	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-6	-3	14.4	15.3	-0.96	12.5	15.7	-3.14
Derek Harper	53	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	14.2	15.8	-1.60	14.6	14.3	0.28
Glen Rice	78	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	1	-17	15.1	14.4	0.70	15.2	11.9	3.31
Kobe Bryant	82	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.02	-20	5	-25	15.0	14.7	0.25	14.1	16.5	-2.41

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	91	90	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-4	23	14.4	14.9	-0.46	15.2	12.0	3.22
Eric Snow	70	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-5	25	14.9	13.2	1.70	15.2	14.3	0.89
Tyrone Hill	66	64	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	5	5	14.8	13.7	1.01	15.4	14.1	1.29
Harvey Grant	34	33	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	8	-1	14.6	14.3	0.29	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Theo Ratliff	52	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	8	-1	14.6	14.2	0.40	15.4	14.3	1.09
Aaron McKie	39	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.04	5	10	-5	13.7	14.9	-1.22	15.4	14.6	0.80
Rick Mahorn	15	13	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	7	1	13.1	14.7	-1.53	13.2	15.2	-1.99
Matt Geiger	32	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.00	5	10	-5	14.0	14.6	-0.59	16.7	14.1	2.62
George Lynch	61	62	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	14	-13	14.5	14.4	0.12	15.2	14.6	0.59
Nazr Mohammed	10	11	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	11	-7	16.0	14.2	1.75	11.1	15.4	-4.36
Jerald Honeycutt	5	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	19	-23	12.0	14.6	-2.56	6.0	15.4	-9.44
Larry Hughes	15	14	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	22	-29	13.5	14.6	-1.14	9.8	15.8	-6.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 101, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MIN 96, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.1%
MIN 92, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.97,0.92,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%