NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	90		Excitement	6.7 [270]		MVP	Chris Morris (PHX): +8.8%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	3.8 [242]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -16.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.00	6	92%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.02	8	59%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Charles Barkley	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	21	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	19%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.18	-0.00	-0.02	14	45%	-0.00	6	-0.16	10	70%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	8	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	21	53%	0.07	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	65%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	62%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	0.01	-0.01	10	10%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.4	27.2	14.8	24.1	2.3	34.5	127.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +11.5%

PHX +8.8%

PHX +19.0%

PHX +16.3%

HOU -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	16.5	14.4	15.8	96.8	111.8	99.6
season	16.0	15.3		103.1	102.7
opponent	15.9	15.6		101.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.1	16.1	16.2	16.7	16.5
PHX	13.1	17.4	14.4	13.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	30	30	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-19	24	15.2	17.1	-1.91	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Brent Price	38	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.26	7	-21	28	16.2	16.7	-0.49	15.3	13.8	1.52
Othella Harrington	40	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-16	18	15.1	17.6	-2.42	13.7	15.0	-1.26
Sam Mack	34	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-14	14	16.9	16.3	0.65	15.8	13.7	2.04
Michael Dickerson	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	0	-14	16.7	16.3	0.33	14.0	15.0	-0.95
Charles Barkley	77	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-4	-6	17.1	13.6	3.58	15.0	11.8	3.20
Cuttino Mobley	60	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	6	-26	16.6	16.4	0.21	13.8	15.5	-1.71
Hakeem Olajuwon	69	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.01	-20	6	-26	16.6	16.2	0.43	14.2	15.1	-0.92
Scottie Pippen	67	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.01	-20	6	-26	16.9	15.6	1.27	14.2	15.2	-0.98

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	80	81	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.02	26	-12	38	14.4	14.4	0.07	16.8	14.9	1.85
Clifford Robinson	70	68	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.20	18	-4	22	14.2	15.1	-0.86	17.6	13.6	3.95
Danny Manning	50	49	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-1	16	13.5	15.5	-1.95	18.1	14.8	3.24
Joe Kleine	39	42	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	11	-8	14.6	14.3	0.30	15.3	17.6	-2.31
George McCloud	37	37	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	9	-4	13.6	15.0	-1.36	15.5	17.2	-1.64
Rex Chapman	36	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	12	-10	14.1	14.6	-0.54	14.6	17.6	-2.98
Tom Gugliotta	74	71	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.13	7	7	0	14.2	15.3	-1.10	16.4	16.9	-0.50
Chris Morris	30	32	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	9	-4	15.8	13.8	1.96	15.8	16.9	-1.09
Toby Bailey	36	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	16	-18	15.6	13.7	1.91	18.1	15.5	2.58
Pat Garrity	13	14	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	23	-32	16.7	14.1	2.62	13.6	17.0	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.35,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.38,0.32,0.59,0.65,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.32,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.96,0.92,1	92.0%
MIN 103, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.95,1	91.6%
CHI 118, CHA 125	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.8,0.94,1,1,1,1,1	91.5%