NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	7.3 [365]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +33.7%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	4.2 [295]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (MIN): -18.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.34	0.22	0.14	0.02	23	68%	0.42	3	-0.08	17	88%	0.04
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.05	15	66%	0.09	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	8	42%	-0.09	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	0.01	-0.01	8	11%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	11	23%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.12	-0.01	11	70%	0.27	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	21	64%	0.33	6	-0.19	13	69%	-0.05
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	9	61%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	9	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	13	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	28.2	14.8	26.0	1.8	41.7	139.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +67.6%

MIN -13.7%

SAC +1.2%

MIN -4.7%

MIN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	13.9	14.7	15.1	103.0	105.0	105.2
season	14.6	15.4		107.3	104.5
opponent	14.7	14.5		107.1	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.2	13.1	17.7	13.3	13.9
SAC	15.5	14.6	15.0	13.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	9	8	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.07	7	-10	17	12.4	14.1	-1.62	17.9	14.5	3.41
Dante Cunningham	32	33	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-9	15	14.6	13.6	0.94	16.6	13.8	2.78
Luc Mbah a Moute	51	52	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-9	15	13.8	14.1	-0.28	16.1	13.3	2.77
Robbie Hummel	33	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.30	9	-12	21	13.4	14.2	-0.83	17.1	13.6	3.51
Kevin Martin	39	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	6	-15	13.9	13.9	-0.04	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Jose Juan Barea	47	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.50	9	-12	21	13.6	14.2	-0.61	15.1	14.4	0.67
Ricky Rubio	69	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	5	-13	14.0	13.8	0.21	13.7	17.1	-3.41
Gorgui Dieng	75	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	1	-5	13.8	14.2	-0.37	13.9	17.1	-3.17
Kevin Love	81	81	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	10	-23	14.0	13.6	0.42	14.2	16.7	-2.52
Corey Brewer	64	65	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.33	-18	15	-33	14.4	13.1	1.31	13.7	16.6	-2.92

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	81	80	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.14	16	-13	29	15.3	12.5	2.78	14.3	12.3	2.03
Ray McCallum	62	63	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.50	3	0	3	14.1	15.7	-1.52	13.3	15.0	-1.71
DeMarcus Cousins	81	80	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-10	23	14.5	15.8	-1.39	13.9	13.8	0.15
Jason Thompson	55	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	-8	19	14.7	14.8	-0.05	13.9	14.0	-0.06
Travis Outlaw	37	37	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.44	-2	5	-7	15.1	14.5	0.59	13.5	14.2	-0.69
Isaiah Thomas	63	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	3	-3	14.9	14.5	0.37	14.5	13.1	1.42
Ben McLemore	84	81	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	6	-9	14.4	16.6	-2.23	13.8	14.6	-0.81
Quincy Acy	26	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.10	-6	9	-15	14.9	14.7	0.20	14.7	13.6	1.10
Aaron Gray	16	15	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.18	-17	20	-37	16.0	14.5	1.51	12.6	14.2	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 78, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	92.8%
CHI 118, CHA 125	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.8,0.94,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%
TOR 94, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%