inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 96 Excitement8.1 [134] MVPRik Smits (IND): +26.2%
Indiana Pacers 99 Comeback12.3 [121] LVPRon Mercer (BOS): -22.6%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.050.00871%0.1200.00580%-0.01
Walter McCarty0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.030.00487%0.0900.0000%0.00
Tony Battie0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.030.004100%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Dana Barros0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.040.030.01-0.01590%0.143-0.1000%0.00
Greg Minor-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Popeye Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00456%0.011-0.031100%0.01
Eric Riley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000100%0.021-0.042100%0.02
Kenny Anderson-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.011060%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.110,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11-0.10-0.03-0.022036%-0.101-0.02475%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko-0.230,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.23-0.06-0.160.01475%0.015-0.23475%0.00
Ron Mercer-0.230,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23-0.12-0.11-0.001829%-0.2300.00250%-0.02

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rik Smits0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.260.260.020.23-0.012156%0.322-0.068100%0.07
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.150.150.020.13-0.00460%0.1500.00250%-0.02
Chris Mullin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.020.01692%0.131-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.15,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.03-0.011166%0.121-0.09771%0.01
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00567%0.0100.001173%-0.02
Dale Davis0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.040.011060%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.0010%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Sam Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.01714%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.06-0.00633%-0.072-0.073100%0.02
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.07-0.00714%-0.112-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.53.327.519.428.62.738.1143.1
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +19.3%
IND +8.4%
IND +12.2%
IND +8.6%
IND +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSINDNBABOSINDNBA
this game15.216.315.8106.7106.599.6
season15.016.498.1105.4
opponent16.015.8101.2100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.814.015.015.215.2
IND16.716.016.915.516.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Battie29300.41-0.911.320.0313-162914.415.6-1.1116.816.00.80
Walter McCarty30320.25-0.751.00-0.0410-132313.715.9-2.2015.716.6-0.87
Popeye Jones20210.24-0.740.98-0.039-122112.615.9-3.2817.515.91.57
Dana Barros25270.15-0.650.80-0.119-122113.216.0-2.7117.016.00.99
Greg Minor17180.10-0.600.71-0.014-71116.015.00.9917.615.91.68
Eric Riley67-0.01-0.490.470.04-2-1-116.515.11.3920.915.94.97
Bruce Bowen1012-0.15-0.350.21-0.09-2-1-118.414.83.6016.616.20.37
Paul Pierce4748-0.520.02-0.54-0.40-41-514.815.6-0.7715.916.6-0.75
Ron Mercer7676-0.690.19-0.88-0.28-1411-2515.414.11.3416.415.80.53
Kenny Anderson6567-0.710.21-0.92-0.36-129-2116.013.22.7115.717.6-1.88
Antoine Walker7072-0.740.24-0.98-0.39-129-2115.912.63.2815.917.5-1.57
Vitaly Potapenko5555-0.840.34-1.17-0.43-1411-2515.514.80.6515.717.1-1.43

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dale Davis56540.83-0.331.150.3915-122715.417.5-2.0815.914.11.86
Rik Smits66640.73-0.230.950.3712-92116.316.20.0515.614.21.47
Reggie Miller75730.69-0.190.890.3711-81916.315.90.3915.514.01.48
Travis Best40400.58-0.080.670.5221115.217.1-1.9015.315.10.13
Jalen Rose42410.270.230.040.2703-316.216.3-0.1715.015.4-0.37
Antonio Davis45420.020.48-0.460.34-1114-2516.615.90.7114.216.1-1.85
Chris Mullin4746-0.040.54-0.59-0.1021116.416.10.3015.514.80.70
Mark Jackson5350-0.080.58-0.67-0.1112-117.115.21.9015.115.3-0.13
Austin Croshere1817-0.190.69-0.890.04-811-1915.916.3-0.3914.015.5-1.48
Sam Perkins2323-0.300.80-1.10-0.04-912-2117.415.91.5113.715.7-1.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.28,0.67,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 98, NYK 1040.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.55,0.65,0.84,191.7%
NOH 95, DAL 980.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.45,0.84,0.73,191.6%
OKC 119, HOU 1220.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.21,0.57,0.91,191.2%