NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	119		Excitement	7.7 [293]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +67.5%
Houston Rockets	122		Comeback	50.5 [16]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -17.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0.31	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31	0.24	0.08	0.01	16	87%	0.35	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Hasheem Thabeet	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Perry Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	3	67%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	20	56%	0.09	7	-0.19	10	90%	0.05
Kevin Durant	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.17	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	13	46%	-0.06	5	-0.11	9	89%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.6,0.66,0.67	0.67	0.41	0.33	0.06	19	92%	0.73	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.10
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.25,0.33	0.33	0.10	0.22	-0.01	22	62%	0.40	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	5	80%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	12	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	10	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	15	50%	0.06	5	-0.15	4	75%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	34.2	15.0	26.4	1.7	34.6	138.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +48.8%

OKC -5.1%

HOU +2.6%

HOU +5.5%

OKC -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.1	13.2	15.4	108.2	111.9	104.1
season	14.8	14.2		109.3	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		105.0	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.6	13.4	12.2	13.2	13.1
HOU	13.5	13.3	13.5	12.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	39	38	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.05	12	-15	27	13.1	13.1	-0.05	13.8	12.8	1.00
Perry Jones	16	17	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.06	5	-8	13	14.1	12.9	1.12	14.8	12.9	1.86
Reggie Jackson	37	38	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.25	11	-14	25	12.4	13.5	-1.14	12.6	13.5	-0.94
Hasheem Thabeet	26	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	3	-9	14.6	12.6	1.97	12.8	13.3	-0.56
Kevin Martin	79	78	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-6	9	12.9	13.6	-0.66	13.6	12.2	1.40
Kevin Durant	94	95	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	1	-5	13.4	11.2	2.25	13.1	13.8	-0.68
Russell Westbrook	98	95	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	6	-15	12.8	15.6	-2.78	13.1	13.7	-0.60
Thabo Sefolosha	90	88	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.32	-12	9	-21	13.0	13.7	-0.78	13.1	13.6	-0.47
Serge Ibaka	71	71	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.46	-15	12	-27	13.1	13.1	0.05	12.8	13.8	-1.00

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	96	96	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.48	10	-7	17	13.0	14.5	-1.44	13.4	11.0	2.42
Chandler Parsons	82	82	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.48	10	-7	17	13.2	13.2	-0.04	12.8	13.9	-1.05
Greg Smith	46	50	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.44	10	-7	17	13.6	12.9	0.76	12.3	13.8	-1.52
James Harden	101	103	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-5	13	13.2	13.4	-0.20	12.8	17.7	-4.92
Jeremy Lin	96	98	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	1	1	12.9	15.7	-2.84	13.1	12.9	0.22
Donatas Motiejunas	11	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	9	-15	14.2	13.1	1.10	14.3	13.0	1.29
Omer Asik	62	60	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	8	-13	13.0	13.4	-0.33	13.8	12.3	1.52
James Anderson	12	12	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.12	-5	8	-13	13.4	13.2	0.25	14.2	13.0	1.19
Patrick Beverley	39	38	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	12	-21	13.9	12.8	1.06	13.0	13.2	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.21,0.57,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.28,0.67,0.73,1	91.2%
DEN 106, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.54,0.78,0.92,1	90.4%
HOU 98, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.55,0.65,0.84,1	89.9%