NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	99		Excitement	3.4 [682]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +14.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Comeback	1.0 [425]		LVP	Bob Sura (CLE): -15.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.01	-0.00	10	95%	0.20	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	10	82%	0.09	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bison Dele	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.08	3	-0.07	19	84%	0.04
Jerome Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	10	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	80%	0.01	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Ryan Stack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	68%	0.01	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.01	0.04	6	44%	-0.07	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.0	15.0	27.0	1.8	26.2	122.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.4%

DET +6.3%

DET +1.5%

DET +3.8%

DET +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	17.8	17.8	15.8	122.2	103.7	99.6
season	16.6	16.3		101.4	97.3
opponent	16.2	16.1		99.2	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	15.2	18.8	23.0	17.8
CLE	17.0	19.8	16.4	18.0	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Dumars	49	49	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	0	15	16.7	19.3	-2.63	16.9	19.2	-2.29
Lindsey Hunter	60	60	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	2	11	19.3	13.2	6.10	19.0	14.4	4.55
Jud Buechler	46	46	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.04	14	1	13	18.2	17.1	1.07	18.7	16.6	2.07
Grant Hill	68	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	2	11	17.4	19.8	-2.40	17.1	21.7	-4.54
Eric Montross	31	30	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.10	11	4	7	17.2	18.1	-0.96	19.4	16.8	2.59
Jerome Williams	25	26	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	9	-3	19.4	17.0	2.38	20.0	16.8	3.24
Bison Dele	30	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	11	-7	17.4	18.0	-0.61	17.8	17.8	-0.05
Don Reid	22	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	10	-5	20.5	16.7	3.71	17.6	17.9	-0.25
Loy Vaught	31	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	14	-13	16.5	18.5	-1.95	16.4	18.6	-2.17
Jerry Stackhouse	35	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	14	-13	15.0	19.8	-4.85	16.8	18.7	-1.93
Corey Beck	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	20.7	17.6	3.15	10.7	18.1	-7.41
Charles O'Bannon	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	20.7	17.6	3.15	10.7	18.1	-7.41

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Stack	6	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-17	19	14.0	18.1	-4.11	22.9	17.3	5.59
Mitchell Butler	12	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-14	13	14.7	18.3	-3.58	14.3	18.3	-4.03
Vitaly Potapenko	46	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-9	3	16.7	19.3	-2.56	16.6	19.3	-2.70
Danny Ferry	31	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-10	5	20.5	16.1	4.45	18.9	17.1	1.82
Johnny Newman	36	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-8	1	17.9	17.7	0.21	14.8	19.9	-5.05
Wesley Person	43	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-7	-1	19.8	15.5	4.29	18.2	17.3	0.92
Antonio Lang	35	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-7	-1	18.0	17.6	0.40	18.6	17.1	1.49
Bob Sura	37	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.01	-10	-5	-5	17.5	18.0	-0.48	18.7	17.0	1.70
Cedric Henderson	45	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-7	-1	16.9	19.0	-2.11	18.7	16.5	2.23
Derek Anderson	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-3	-9	17.6	18.4	-0.86	16.8	20.3	-3.48
Shawn Kemp	53	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-3	-9	17.6	18.1	-0.47	18.6	15.9	2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DAL 98, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
PHI 116, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	95.9%