NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	116		Excitement	4.8 [869]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +26.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	111		Comeback	1.1 [610]		LVP	T.J. Ford (MIL): -13.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.27	0.23	0.08	0.05	17	76%	0.27	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Allen Iverson	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	17	61%	0.16	3	-0.06	15	80%	0.03
Steven Hunter	0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	86%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	6	68%	0.06	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	19	43%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.18	0.27	0.01	0.10	16	82%	0.18	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	64%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	10	68%	0.09	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	8	31%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.03	12	48%	-0.03	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	28.3	15.4	30.5	1.7	41.0	146.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.5%

PHI +8.1%

MIL -10.8%

PHI +16.8%

PHI +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.6	120.8	114.4	104.4
season	15.2	15.5		104.1	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	14.6	14.1	16.4	14.8
MIL	15.3	16.0	16.5	12.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	89	92	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	2	1	14.8	15.6	-0.81	14.7	20.2	-5.46
Andre Iguodala	85	86	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	2	1	14.6	16.9	-2.36	15.0	14.8	0.23
Chris Webber	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	-1	7	16.1	12.2	3.95	15.2	14.6	0.55
Kyle Korver	62	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	2	1	15.5	13.6	1.91	14.9	15.3	-0.45
Kevin Ollie	61	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	1	3	14.5	15.3	-0.77	15.0	15.1	-0.19
John Salmons	44	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	2	1	15.0	14.7	0.37	15.3	14.8	0.46
Steven Hunter	52	50	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	0	5	13.7	16.1	-2.38	15.4	14.6	0.78
Shavlik Randolph	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	5	-5	15.6	14.7	0.87	15.6	14.9	0.64
Matt Barnes	3	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	5	-5	5.0	15.1	-10.14	12.5	15.1	-2.57
Michael Bradley	8	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	7	-9	13.2	15.0	-1.72	14.5	15.1	-0.58

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	12	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-5	5	15.6	14.9	0.64	15.6	14.7	0.87
Andrew Bogut	24	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	0	-5	17.4	14.2	3.13	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Charlie Bell	43	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-1	-3	15.5	14.7	0.80	14.6	15.0	-0.35
Joe Smith	58	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-10	15	13.8	16.8	-2.92	14.9	14.7	0.18
Mo Williams	53	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-3	1	14.2	16.0	-1.75	13.8	15.9	-2.09
Jamaal Magloire	54	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	6	-17	16.3	13.4	2.92	15.6	13.8	1.73
T.J. Ford	69	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	15.0	15.0	-0.02	15.3	13.5	1.81
Michael Redd	92	91	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-4	3	14.7	20.2	-5.46	14.6	19.4	-4.83
Bobby Simmons	80	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	14.8	15.9	-1.12	14.9	14.4	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
IND 83, NOH 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DET 99, CLE 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%