inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 99 Excitement3.9 [630] MVPMario Elie (SAS): +8.2%
Houston Rockets 82 Comeback1.1 [359] LVPHakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -15.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Elie0.080,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.000.01983%0.132-0.0500%0.00
Avery Johnson0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.020.02-0.061849%0.092-0.0310%-0.01
David Robinson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.01868%0.071-0.02683%0.01
Will Perdue0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.012100%0.051-0.011100%0.00
Jerome Kersey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03333%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Andrew Gaze0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Jaren Jackson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.000.02444%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.002346%-0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Sean Elliott-0.040,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.021735%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.03520%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Steve Kerr-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.041-0.0300%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charles Barkley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.01964%0.0600.00786%0.01
Matt Bullard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodrick Rhodes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.05-0.01-0.051462%0.086-0.096100%0.02
Anthony Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.02367%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Michael Dickerson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.01856%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Bryce Drew0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01420%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.03570%-0.003-0.0500%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.01621%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Brent Price0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01550%0.014-0.092100%0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.14-0.02-0.001931%-0.122-0.0410%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.725.116.426.51.725.3123.3
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +28.1%
HOU -4.4%
SAS +6.7%
SAS +16.5%
SAS +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASHOUNBASASHOUNBA
this game17.713.715.8107.689.199.6
season15.916.0101.1103.1
opponent15.615.9100.892.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.416.216.422.117.7
HOU13.014.514.912.213.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Robinson70690.54-0.040.580.0118-11917.019.8-2.8513.912.81.16
Avery Johnson72740.460.040.42-0.011611517.717.50.1914.112.02.05
Mario Elie41390.450.050.41-0.1019-22116.318.7-2.3613.813.50.29
Sean Elliott61620.340.160.17-0.04134917.218.5-1.2514.013.01.02
Tim Duncan78790.310.190.120.0598118.015.92.1213.514.7-1.21
Steve Kerr42420.190.31-0.120.04512-717.717.60.0314.013.30.73
Jerome Kersey11100.130.37-0.240.07215-1313.818.2-4.3513.313.7-0.40
Malik Rose780.110.39-0.29-0.07611-518.617.60.9910.613.9-3.32
Will Perdue29280.040.46-0.420.01116-1518.217.40.8114.313.40.91
Antonio Daniels20180.040.46-0.420.01116-1517.517.7-0.1912.014.1-2.05
Andrew Gaze340.000.50-0.50-0.06215-1327.017.39.667.014.0-6.95
Jaren Jackson2627-0.110.61-0.720.09-724-3121.216.24.9913.113.9-0.71

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodrick Rhodes65-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-15137.714.1-6.4024.017.36.71
Anthony Miller2928-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-181912.414.2-1.7616.118.3-2.27
Matt Bullard1617-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-4-13914.513.51.0318.017.60.43
Othella Harrington3937-0.21-0.290.090.09-10-7-313.413.9-0.5116.218.6-2.45
Brent Price4950-0.23-0.270.03-0.06-6-11514.113.10.9616.119.5-3.40
Cuttino Mobley3738-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-8-112.714.3-1.5419.116.62.48
Bryce Drew3534-0.25-0.25-0.000.07-11-6-513.213.9-0.6818.317.31.06
Michael Dickerson6362-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.04-8-9114.112.71.3617.617.7-0.02
Charles Barkley5355-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.09-7-10313.913.40.5118.616.22.45
Scottie Pippen7070-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.06-11-6-514.012.61.3417.119.4-2.25
Hakeem Olajuwon6364-0.49-0.01-0.480.04-181-1914.212.41.7618.316.12.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 100, TOR 770.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
DET 103, LAC 730.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
PHI 101, MIL 860.5,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%