NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	3.3 [1127]		MVP	Willie Green (PHI): +10.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	1.2 [199]		LVP	John Salmons (MIL): -14.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.02	-0.04	11	73%	0.13	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	7	86%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.06	0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	77%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	10	54%	0.06	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	10	75%	0.10	6	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	69%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	19%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	9	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	46%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	52%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	12	17%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.4	26.3	14.8	30.0	1.8	26.2	123.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +51.8%

MIL -1.8%

MIL -4.0%

PHI +3.7%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.3	108.6	94.5	106.0
season	15.1	15.5		104.2	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		101.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	14.7	15.5	19.3	15.9
MIL	16.5	16.7	13.9	14.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	50	50	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.07	22	-7	29	14.6	17.3	-2.75	16.4	14.3	2.07
Elton Brand	54	52	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	1	13	16.0	15.7	0.22	15.7	15.1	0.53
Jrue Holiday	54	55	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	5	5	15.7	16.1	-0.35	15.4	15.5	-0.12
Jason Smith	45	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	9	-3	16.2	15.6	0.64	14.6	16.2	-1.65
Jason Kapono	45	44	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	5	5	15.3	16.4	-1.17	15.6	15.3	0.36
Willie Green	48	46	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	8	-1	16.8	14.9	1.90	15.4	15.4	0.01
Andre Iguodala	59	61	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.17	13	2	11	15.1	17.1	-2.01	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Rodney Carney	47	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	14	-13	16.5	15.2	1.25	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Jodie Meeks	41	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	18	-21	17.0	15.0	1.93	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Marreese Speights	22	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	20	-25	16.1	15.8	0.29	15.5	15.4	0.09

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	22	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.25	9	-24	33	14.0	15.9	-1.94	18.1	15.1	3.00
Primoz Brezec	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-16	17	12.7	15.9	-3.21	15.9	15.9	0.07
Charlie Bell	16	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-16	17	14.6	15.6	-0.98	17.7	15.5	2.27
Jerry Stackhouse	45	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-12	9	14.9	16.0	-1.07	16.6	15.1	1.50
Luke Ridnour	53	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-14	13	14.7	16.4	-1.66	17.0	14.3	2.67
Ersan Ilyasova	60	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-15	15	14.8	16.5	-1.70	17.0	13.6	3.40
Andrew Bogut	40	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-8	1	15.8	15.1	0.71	15.1	16.5	-1.43
Kurt Thomas	23	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-7	-1	16.3	15.1	1.23	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	31	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	0	-15	16.5	14.8	1.70	13.3	17.1	-3.82
Brandon Jennings	38	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.03	-14	-1	-13	16.4	14.7	1.66	14.1	17.2	-3.09
John Salmons	58	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.17	-21	6	-27	16.5	13.6	2.91	15.2	17.1	-1.97
Carlos Delfino	55	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.02	-17	2	-19	15.6	15.2	0.43	15.3	16.8	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 123, TOR 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
IND 100, UTA 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
ATL 109, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%