inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 100 Excitement3.3 [916] MVPJoe Johnson (ATL): +24.4%
Toronto Raptors 77 Comeback1.1 [862] LVPJames Johnson (TOR): -11.4%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0.240,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.230.020.011786%0.272-0.031100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.01683%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Marvin Williams0.040,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.021145%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.010.04783%0.094-0.084100%0.01
Jannero Pargo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.011145%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Willie Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.050.000.06470%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Ivan Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.04636%-0.012-0.02250%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03617%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Josh Smith-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.03744%0.024-0.08250%-0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.03656%0.0410.006100%0.01
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.03-0.00-0.06935%0.0300.002100%0.01
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.001154%0.041-0.024100%0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.020.01475%0.073-0.0700%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.02542%-0.0010.0020%-0.03
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.05-0.000.06673%0.032-0.053100%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.12-0.01-0.04825%-0.043-0.0500%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.00-0.01941%-0.034-0.07475%-0.01
James Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.011332%-0.062-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.12.426.516.325.62.429.3124.7
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +37.2%
ATL +0.3%
ATL +3.5%
ATL +7.3%
ATL +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLTORNBAATLTORNBA
this game15.515.615.6109.981.9102.8
season15.716.5102.598.9
opponent15.215.9102.999.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.714.417.515.315.5
TOR16.616.213.216.715.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Johnson58590.52-0.020.54-0.011851315.615.40.1915.216.5-1.33
Josh Smith55560.420.080.33-0.02158715.815.00.8515.615.7-0.15
Zaza Pachulia51510.390.110.270.011310316.014.81.2215.615.7-0.05
Jeff Teague53510.360.140.220.10914-516.514.12.4615.216.2-1.03
Marvin Williams42420.330.170.160.041013-316.015.10.9115.116.1-0.91
Tracy McGrady39410.170.33-0.16-0.27158715.415.6-0.2216.215.21.06
Kirk Hinrich28330.140.36-0.22-0.33167914.116.1-1.9916.615.11.43
Vladimir Radmanovic36380.080.42-0.33-0.15815-715.015.8-0.8515.715.60.15
Ivan Johnson40420.080.42-0.34-0.12716-914.816.0-1.2216.015.30.68
Willie Green33360.010.49-0.48-0.22815-715.415.6-0.1916.115.40.66
Jannero Pargo10100.000.50-0.500.06-225-2713.915.7-1.7815.015.7-0.73
Jerry Stackhouse10110.000.50-0.500.06-225-2713.915.7-1.7815.415.7-0.32

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler28270.02-0.520.53-0.073-262913.216.7-3.4215.315.6-0.27
Anthony Carter10100.00-0.500.50-0.062-252715.015.7-0.7313.915.7-1.78
Aaron Gray1917-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-283313.416.2-2.8618.114.93.24
Leandro Barbosa3332-0.12-0.380.260.20-11-12116.515.21.2415.015.7-0.70
Gary Forbes3330-0.13-0.370.230.07-7-16915.715.60.1215.015.7-0.77
Linas Kleiza3937-0.15-0.350.190.17-11-12116.615.01.5615.315.6-0.36
Ed Davis5048-0.19-0.310.120.16-12-11-116.414.81.6015.215.8-0.63
Amir Johnson2727-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-14-9-515.515.7-0.1814.715.8-1.11
DeMar DeRozan6464-0.34-0.16-0.170.07-14-9-516.314.22.0816.114.02.11
James Johnson5554-0.35-0.15-0.190.01-12-11-115.016.6-1.5615.615.30.36
Jose Calderon6260-0.39-0.11-0.280.23-21-2-1915.416.2-0.8616.114.21.96
Jerryd Bayless5049-0.540.04-0.580.13-230-2316.215.01.2614.716.4-1.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 88, GSW 750.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
UTA 120, OKC 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.23,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
DET 92, TOR 850.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.08,096.2%