NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	120		Excitement	3.2 [1176]		MVP	CJ Miles (UTA): +10.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Comeback	1.2 [367]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -10.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.02	0.06	13	72%	0.12	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.00	0.06	19	65%	0.10	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	3	117%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	5	40%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.06	12	68%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	14	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	12	92%	0.01
Deron Williams	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	59%	0.05	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	14	49%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Daequan Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.06	13	65%	0.04	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	35%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	0.10	19	60%	-0.00	6	-0.10	9	89%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.6	27.0	15.5	35.2	1.8	30.3	139.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +39.0%

OKC -4.7%

UTA +6.0%

UTA +6.9%

UTA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	15.3	12.8	15.5	117.6	96.1	105.7
season	15.9	15.0		106.4	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.4	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.0	15.2	14.8	16.4	15.3
OKC	13.3	14.2	11.0	12.9	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	82	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.16	22	-1	23	15.1	16.2	-1.14	12.7	12.9	-0.16
Paul Millsap	81	82	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.24	24	-3	27	15.0	16.6	-1.62	13.3	10.7	2.65
Al Jefferson	90	88	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.12	19	2	17	15.0	18.2	-3.21	13.0	11.3	1.77
Deron Williams	78	80	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.10	18	3	15	14.7	17.5	-2.78	13.2	11.3	1.95
CJ Miles	53	55	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.20	21	0	21	15.5	15.1	0.37	12.2	13.5	-1.32
Raja Bell	40	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	16	-11	14.3	16.0	-1.62	13.2	12.5	0.65
Earl Watson	24	23	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	18	-15	17.5	14.7	2.78	11.3	13.2	-1.95
Kyrylo Fesenko	6	7	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	19	-17	15.7	15.3	0.35	11.9	12.8	-0.99
Francisco Elson	8	10	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	21	-21	20.0	14.9	5.06	10.3	13.0	-2.74
Ronnie Price	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	20.7	15.1	5.64	12.0	12.8	-0.80
Jeremy Evans	13	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	22	-23	15.3	15.3	-0.03	11.8	12.9	-1.06
Gordon Hayward	31	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	28	-35	16.9	14.6	2.26	12.7	12.8	-0.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ White	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-22	23	13.2	12.8	0.44	19.2	15.1	4.07
Cole Aldrich	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-21	21	14.0	12.4	1.61	15.9	15.2	0.68
Daequan Cook	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-22	23	10.6	13.3	-2.63	17.9	14.7	3.21
Eric Maynor	33	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-18	15	12.5	12.9	-0.38	16.7	14.7	1.93
Serge Ibaka	50	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-18	15	12.6	13.0	-0.42	15.4	15.3	0.12
James Harden	72	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-17	13	12.3	13.8	-1.52	15.4	15.3	0.06
Thabo Sefolosha	49	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-5	-11	13.0	12.6	0.39	14.9	15.7	-0.78
Nenad Krstic	31	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-4	-13	13.8	12.3	1.52	15.5	15.3	0.24
Russell Westbrook	67	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.15	-17	-4	-13	12.9	12.6	0.30	14.4	17.2	-2.80
Jeff Green	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.29	-25	4	-29	13.2	10.9	2.33	14.8	17.5	-2.63
Kevin Durant	84	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.09	-22	1	-23	12.5	14.1	-1.56	15.2	15.7	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.23,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 110, DET 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
MIN 126, PHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
WAS 97, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%