inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 97 Excitement2.6 [750] MVPMitch Richmond (WAS): +10.2%
Atlanta Hawks 77 Comeback1.2 [219] LVPGrant Long (ATL): -16.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitch Richmond0.100,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.110.010.031970%0.123-0.022100%0.01
Calbert Cheaney0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.01-0.04540%0.0400.0000%0.00
Terry Davis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tracy Murray0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.043100%0.0300.00250%0.00
Juwan Howard0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.001662%0.083-0.0500%0.00
Otis Thorpe0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.04660%0.042-0.02333%-0.00
Chris Whitney0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01360%0.0000.004100%0.01
Randell Jackson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff McInnis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.0810%-0.0220.0120%-0.00
Rod Strickland-0.040,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.001267%0.056-0.09367%-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.00-0.041156%0.051-0.00367%0.00
Tyrone Corbin0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.01-0.00-0.061052%0.071-0.02333%0.03
Jeff Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04642%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Mark West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.07-0.00-0.06621%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Ed Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02633%-0.0310.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.03956%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.04543%-0.034-0.05450%-0.01
Mookie Blaylock0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.00833%-0.051-0.032100%0.01
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.09-0.030.051546%-0.083-0.09757%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.61.827.516.023.32.326.4121.9
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +47.1%
ATL -10.3%
WAS +3.7%
WAS +7.9%
WAS +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASATLNBAWASATLNBA
this game14.316.215.8102.181.999.6
season15.516.798.897.2
opponent16.315.994.9101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.414.013.817.114.3
ATL17.618.116.212.916.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Otis Thorpe65650.54-0.040.57-0.1122-22413.216.8-3.6017.613.04.60
Juwan Howard78770.54-0.040.57-0.2828-83613.816.7-2.9216.514.91.59
Mitch Richmond72710.51-0.010.52-0.1924-42813.716.1-2.4116.315.70.58
Rod Strickland65650.270.230.04-0.14146814.114.7-0.6316.715.01.76
Calbert Cheaney39390.240.26-0.010.04713-615.413.51.9215.516.6-1.10
Chris Whitney30290.230.27-0.040.05614-814.714.10.6315.016.7-1.76
Terry Davis45470.190.31-0.11-0.301731414.214.4-0.1217.315.02.28
Tracy Murray33330.000.50-0.500.06-222-2415.613.62.0416.516.00.42
Randell Jackson650.000.50-0.500.09-323-2617.514.13.416.616.7-10.12
Jeff McInnis650.000.50-0.500.09-323-2617.514.13.416.616.7-10.12
Ben Wallace3634-0.020.52-0.550.27-1030-4015.213.71.4814.217.3-3.05

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Sheppard3635-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-222413.018.2-5.2016.413.13.27
Ed Gray1616-0.05-0.450.39-0.050-202015.916.2-0.3715.414.11.36
Mark West4241-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-171414.517.5-2.9515.513.42.08
Anthony Johnson4748-0.21-0.290.07-0.01-7-13615.417.0-1.5515.712.92.79
Grant Long8789-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-8-416.018.4-2.4314.610.04.60
Dikembe Mutombo5254-0.32-0.18-0.140.18-17-3-1417.514.52.9513.415.5-2.08
LaPhonso Ellis6062-0.42-0.08-0.340.16-200-2016.815.11.7613.715.4-1.62
Mookie Blaylock5657-0.43-0.07-0.350.13-19-1-1817.314.52.7813.216.0-2.82
Tyrone Corbin7473-0.550.05-0.590.16-244-2817.112.64.5513.218.1-4.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 120, OKC 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.23,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
DET 92, TOR 850.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.08,096.4%
MIA 110, DET 780.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%