NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	82		Excitement	6.4 [318]		MVP	Dee Brown (TOR): +12.6%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	2.5 [116]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -25.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.04	8	89%	0.12	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Terrell Brandon	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	15	47%	0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.20	-0.07	-0.01	16	24%	-0.17	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	7	64%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.01	18	48%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Negele Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	-0.04	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.6	26.2	14.8	26.2	2.5	39.6	139.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +10.4%

TOR +8.7%

TOR +23.0%

TOR +12.2%

MIL -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	TOR	NBA	MIL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	16.6	15.8	91.1	100.0	99.6
season	15.8	15.6		102.4	99.0
opponent	15.9	16.4		101.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.4	13.3	16.2	17.1	15.4
TOR	14.6	16.2	16.5	19.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	14	13	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.03	9	-17	26	10.0	16.3	-6.34	18.2	16.4	1.76
Michael Curry	35	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-14	20	12.5	17.2	-4.70	17.2	16.2	1.01
Ervin Johnson	39	38	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	0.12	-6	-2	-4	16.5	14.5	2.04	15.3	17.6	-2.25
Vinny Del Negro	39	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.26	5	-13	18	14.8	15.7	-0.90	19.1	14.8	4.26
Ray Allen	52	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-2	-4	16.1	14.3	1.80	15.8	17.7	-1.94
Dell Curry	43	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.35	1	-9	10	13.4	17.1	-3.71	16.7	16.6	0.13
Tyrone Hill	53	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	5	-18	17.0	12.9	4.09	16.9	16.3	0.56
Armen Gilliam	42	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-5	2	14.8	15.9	-1.11	17.9	15.5	2.36
Terrell Brandon	65	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	5	-18	16.0	13.7	2.26	15.9	18.6	-2.70
Glenn Robinson	68	67	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.11	-20	12	-32	16.7	11.3	5.34	15.7	19.4	-3.69

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	59	58	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-10	28	16.6	16.7	-0.05	16.2	13.8	2.39
Doug Christie	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	2	4	17.3	13.9	3.33	15.3	15.5	-0.18
Kevin Willis	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	-1	10	16.7	16.6	0.06	16.3	12.9	3.37
Dee Brown	41	40	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	3	2	17.2	16.2	0.97	15.7	15.1	0.66
Negele Knight	12	10	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	0	8	16.1	16.7	-0.65	17.6	15.1	2.52
Tracy McGrady	54	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.29	-2	10	-12	17.7	15.1	2.60	13.6	17.8	-4.17
Vince Carter	53	53	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	3	2	15.9	17.8	-1.89	15.3	15.4	-0.04
Reggie Slater	8	8	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	7	-6	25.0	15.8	9.17	21.6	14.7	6.88
John Thomas	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	4	0	13.6	17.2	-3.54	17.2	15.0	2.19
Alvin Williams	44	46	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	7	-6	14.4	18.8	-4.33	15.6	15.1	0.47
John Wallace	14	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	12	-16	15.6	16.8	-1.19	12.1	16.0	-3.87
Michael Stewart	14	15	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.08	-11	19	-30	17.2	16.5	0.67	9.3	16.6	-7.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.89,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 84, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.8,0.72,0.89,0.97,1,1,1	93.3%
MIA 75, TOR 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
DEN 88, NYK 97	0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%