inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 91 Excitement4.5 [568] MVPTim Hardaway (MIA): +7.3%
Detroit Pistons 80 Comeback1.2 [428] LVPGrant Hill (DET): -13.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.001672%0.226-0.14887%0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.02-0.021250%0.0600.0000%0.00
Dan Majerle0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.010.05764%0.0200.0000%0.00
Keith Askins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0100.002100%0.01
P.J. Brown0.000,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.01760%0.021-0.026100%0.02
Jamie Watson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duane Causwell-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Rex Walters-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02267%0.012-0.032100%0.01
Blue Edwards-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02760%0.034-0.09667%-0.00
Terry Porter-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.011236%-0.063-0.051100%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Don Reid0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.013100%0.051-0.012100%0.01
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00667%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles O'Bannon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Montross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.021100%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Loy Vaught0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Steve Henson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.000100%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Bison Dele0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.01-0.03731%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Mark Macon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.0350%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.02812%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.01922%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.040.021554%-0.023-0.089100%0.04
Grant Hill0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.17-0.00-0.032140%-0.083-0.061392%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.82.426.415.628.21.530.6132.5
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +54.5%
DET -5.0%
MIA +1.9%
DET -4.9%
MIA +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game15.316.015.897.887.999.6
season16.616.6101.3101.4
opponent16.116.797.996.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.515.416.817.315.3
DET15.317.316.714.716.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Porter64640.54-0.040.57-0.0520-92915.714.51.2016.016.0-0.05
Tim Hardaway82820.50-0.000.50-0.1522-113315.116.8-1.6715.916.9-1.02
Clar. Weatherspoon50480.480.020.46-0.0217-62315.415.30.1615.816.1-0.33
Alonzo Mourning79790.410.090.330.0313-21514.718.9-4.1416.313.62.75
Keith Askins17170.300.200.090.1556-118.214.73.5414.816.2-1.41
Dan Majerle64610.150.35-0.200.0347-314.816.6-1.8616.015.90.15
Duane Causwell11100.060.44-0.370.12-213-1518.814.93.9414.016.2-2.21
Blue Edwards12130.050.45-0.39-0.0129-714.315.5-1.1617.215.81.47
P.J. Brown46450.040.46-0.420.22-617-2315.515.20.3115.916.0-0.07
Jamie Watson320.000.50-0.500.18-617-2320.315.25.1614.516.0-1.50
Rex Walters3734-0.040.54-0.570.38-1425-3914.715.7-1.0216.315.80.57

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mikki Moore230.00-0.500.50-0.186-172314.516.0-1.5020.315.25.16
Charles O'Bannon230.00-0.500.50-0.186-172314.516.0-1.5020.315.25.16
Don Reid6567-0.05-0.450.39-0.112-131516.115.60.4914.617.2-2.51
Mark Macon911-0.07-0.430.35-0.163-141715.816.0-0.2114.215.5-1.32
Steve Henson1010-0.14-0.360.23-0.223-141713.416.3-2.8819.114.94.21
Bison Dele4143-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-5-115.716.2-0.5214.416.1-1.72
Jerome Williams4242-0.16-0.340.190.05-7-4-316.115.90.1916.114.71.33
Jud Buechler5049-0.17-0.330.170.04-7-4-315.616.4-0.7316.114.51.60
Loy Vaught98-0.24-0.260.02-0.03-7-4-314.916.1-1.2020.214.95.37
Jerry Stackhouse7475-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.14-5-6116.016.0-0.0415.215.8-0.54
Lindsey Hunter5859-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-143-1716.515.11.4214.816.4-1.59
Eric Montross2323-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.11-10-1-916.415.80.6315.415.30.12
Grant Hill7072-0.47-0.03-0.440.09-198-2716.215.11.0714.917.0-2.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.24,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 100, NYK 830.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.1%
SAS 115, BOS 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%
LAC 97, CHA 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,094.4%