NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	91		Excitement	6.5 [298]		MVP	Dell Curry (MIL): +20.8%
Toronto Raptors	77		Comeback	1.6 [455]		LVP	Kevin Willis (TOR): -27.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.13	-0.02	12	62%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	10	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Armen Gilliam	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.01	13	55%	0.09	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Jamie Feick	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonis Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	7	57%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	14	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	60%	0.00	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Ervin Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	5	25%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	69%	0.14	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.03
John Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.04
Alvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	14	43%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	12	33%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.21	-0.04	-0.02	10	0%	-0.20	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Willis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.15	-0.12	0.01	14	44%	-0.11	5	-0.16	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	30.4	16.4	25.4	2.4	29.4	128.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +38.0%

MIL +10.1%

TOR -20.5%

MIL +26.3%

TOR -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	TOR	NBA	MIL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.0	16.2	15.8	96.8	80.2	99.6
season	15.8	15.6		102.4	99.0
opponent	15.9	16.4		101.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.3	13.2	13.8	15.0	14.0
TOR	16.2	14.0	17.5	17.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	49	49	0.68	-0.19	0.87	0.01	23	-9	32	14.0	14.1	-0.05	16.9	15.6	1.32
Glenn Robinson	49	50	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-6	26	14.9	13.1	1.74	17.7	14.7	2.94
Ray Allen	61	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-3	20	13.7	14.7	-0.96	17.0	14.8	2.14
Armen Gilliam	46	45	0.26	0.23	0.03	0.08	6	8	-2	14.5	13.6	0.98	15.9	16.6	-0.72
Dell Curry	48	48	0.20	0.29	-0.10	0.05	5	9	-4	14.0	14.1	-0.17	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Tyrone Hill	47	49	0.19	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	5	4	13.6	14.4	-0.81	17.6	14.8	2.82
Terrell Brandon	62	62	0.11	0.38	-0.27	0.05	2	12	-10	13.9	14.4	-0.50	17.2	14.6	2.62
Robert Traylor	18	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	14	-14	11.2	14.7	-3.56	13.9	16.9	-2.97
Jamie Feick	2	2	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	16	-18	17.0	14.0	3.02	2.0	16.6	-14.55
Elliot Perry	2	2	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	16	-18	17.0	14.0	3.02	2.0	16.6	-14.55
Adonis Jordan	3	3	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	17	-20	14.3	14.0	0.30	5.3	16.6	-11.27
Jerald Honeycutt	2	2	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	16	-18	17.0	14.0	3.02	2.0	16.6	-14.55
Ervin Johnson	40	42	-0.04	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	16	-18	13.7	14.3	-0.55	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Michael Curry	41	43	-0.08	0.57	-0.66	-0.05	-1	15	-16	15.0	13.3	1.61	15.5	16.9	-1.42

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	2	2	0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-16	18	2.0	16.6	-14.55	17.0	14.0	3.02
John Wallace	12	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-13	12	14.9	16.4	-1.52	12.5	14.2	-1.70
Tracy McGrady	51	51	-0.07	-0.42	0.36	-0.07	0	-14	14	15.7	16.9	-1.24	14.7	13.3	1.36
Kevin Willis	71	68	-0.13	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-7	0	16.8	14.6	2.18	13.4	15.7	-2.28
Doug Christie	57	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-11	8	16.7	15.5	1.20	13.0	15.5	-2.56
Charles Oakley	74	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-6	-2	16.7	14.7	1.98	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Alvin Williams	42	41	-0.36	-0.13	-0.23	0.08	-15	1	-16	15.6	16.8	-1.21	14.4	13.8	0.57
Dee Brown	66	65	-0.44	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-4	-6	16.7	15.2	1.48	14.4	13.1	1.31
Reggie Slater	35	35	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-3	-8	14.6	17.2	-2.55	14.1	14.0	0.16
Vince Carter	70	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	3	-20	16.6	15.2	1.45	14.7	12.2	2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0	94.0%
NOK 100, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.52,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.4%
BOS 108, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0,0	93.0%