inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 108 Excitement7.1 [224] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +20.0%
Miami Heat 101 Comeback2.4 [94] LVPDan Majerle (MIA): -22.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.20.050.14-0.011658%0.221-0.0210%-0.03
Antoine Walker0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09-0.010.09-0.012749%0.121-0.03933%-0.09
Tony Battie0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.04-0.01837%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Riley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dana Barros0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.00664%0.041-0.042100%0.01
Marlon Garnett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.000,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.02-0.03542%0.052-0.0520%-0.00
Popeye Jones-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01325%-0.0300.002100%0.02
Greg Minor-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00425%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Kenny Anderson-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11-0.07-0.010.021452%-0.063-0.0514100%0.05
Andrew DeClercq-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.13-0.040.00737%-0.055-0.132100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.130.130.110.050.031075%0.1300.008100%0.04
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.020.00865%0.0300.00475%-0.00
Rex Walters00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith Askins0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01267%0.032-0.03250%-0.01
Duane Causwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mark Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.000.00275%0.042-0.064100%0.03
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.03758%0.024-0.091080%0.03
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.011651%-0.013-0.071587%0.07
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.040.031242%-0.091-0.0100%0.00
Dan Majerle0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22-0.22-0.16-0.08-0.02838%-0.095-0.13560%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game34.11.828.516.631.01.850.3164.0
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +46.3%
MIA -28.3%
BOS +29.2%
BOS +2.9%
MIA -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMIANBABOSMIANBA
this game15.214.115.8109.1103.199.6
season15.016.698.1101.3
opponent16.715.896.8100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.814.415.915.715.2
MIA13.515.616.111.614.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antoine Walker75760.64-0.140.770.2812-51715.115.6-0.5314.811.63.17
Paul Pierce60590.58-0.080.660.2013-61915.015.4-0.3313.614.7-1.11
Popeye Jones55560.55-0.050.600.1115-82313.017.9-4.9114.014.2-0.20
Andrew DeClercq58560.410.100.310.2652316.014.01.9814.313.70.59
Kenny Anderson64650.360.140.220.1861515.614.51.0813.615.0-1.48
Dana Barros37350.140.36-0.220.0534-113.816.0-2.2314.413.90.50
Bruce Bowen58570.060.44-0.390.32-916-2516.812.93.8913.614.7-1.13
Marlon Garnett430.010.49-0.49-0.114316.215.6-9.312.314.4-12.09
Greg Minor3231-0.030.53-0.550.06-310-1314.515.5-1.0515.313.51.81
Eric Riley2525-0.050.55-0.600.01-29-1116.214.81.3614.613.80.79
Tony Battie2727-0.160.66-0.820.11-916-2517.314.42.9113.814.2-0.38

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Duane Causwell12110.00-0.500.50-0.031-8914.813.90.8913.515.4-1.94
Dan Majerle7779-0.04-0.460.42-0.309-162513.815.0-1.2715.912.23.74
Rex Walters1010-0.09-0.410.330.06-5-2-311.814.3-2.5111.315.6-4.32
Keith Askins2828-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-5314.413.90.4315.315.10.14
Mark Davis2323-0.12-0.380.270.00-4-3-117.213.14.1416.414.81.63
Mark Strickland1515-0.16-0.340.180.04-70-716.113.72.3812.115.7-3.59
Clar. Weatherspoon3840-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.03-81-915.813.02.8014.915.4-0.43
P.J. Brown7777-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.20-3-4113.516.0-2.5415.414.50.82
Alonzo Mourning6465-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.30-3-4113.115.8-2.6715.414.80.55
Terry Porter6162-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.28-6-1-513.515.0-1.5715.015.5-0.57
Tim Hardaway8585-0.610.11-0.72-0.40-70-714.014.5-0.4715.314.50.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.02,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 100, WAS 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,092.2%
BOS 105, MIL 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.07,0,0,092.2%
DAL 113, NOH 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.09,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,092.1%