NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	7.8 [155]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +39.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	91		Comeback	9.8 [115]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -42.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.09,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	14	51%	0.12	2	-0.12	9	89%	0.05
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	5	45%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	9	55%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	7	44%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Rider	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.27	-0.02	-0.24	-0.00	13	54%	-0.18	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.28,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.18	0.21	-0.02	18	76%	0.53	2	-0.13	6	100%	0.08
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.13	-0.01	6	86%	0.23	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	67%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	10	55%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	5	27%	-0.08	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.42	-0.42	-0.18	-0.24	-0.00	13	27%	-0.24	3	-0.18	4	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	60.3	1.6	28.1	14.7	32.1	0.7	41.0	178.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +63.5%

POR -8.5%

SEA +13.9%

POR -18.7%

POR -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	15.6	16.2	15.8	97.8	100.0	99.6
season	16.0	15.4		102.0	102.4
opponent	15.9	15.9		103.5	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.3	16.9	15.0	17.3	15.6
SEA	18.0	14.4	16.3	16.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	20	20	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.14	4	-7	11	13.6	16.2	-2.56	14.3	16.8	-2.41
Brian Grant	53	53	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-3	3	16.4	14.5	1.92	18.4	13.2	5.19
Jim Jackson	33	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	2	-7	15.9	15.4	0.46	12.4	18.5	-6.19
Isaiah Rider	54	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-7	11	15.3	16.1	-0.82	18.5	13.1	5.32
Stacey Augmon	22	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	1	-5	14.7	15.9	-1.14	14.1	16.9	-2.76
Jermaine O'Neal	9	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	4	-11	16.2	15.5	0.70	11.1	16.9	-5.85
Walt Williams	52	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-7	11	15.5	15.8	-0.30	17.0	15.2	1.75
Damon Stoudamire	74	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-4	5	15.6	15.6	0.03	16.8	13.2	3.63
Rasheed Wallace	51	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	0	-3	15.7	15.5	0.18	14.7	18.1	-3.35
Greg Anthony	38	38	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	6	-15	15.9	15.3	0.57	14.8	17.3	-2.47
Arvydas Sabonis	44	45	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.65	0	-3	3	15.8	15.4	0.40	18.1	14.4	3.76

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	68	66	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.47	7	-4	11	16.2	16.3	-0.10	16.1	14.3	1.77
Hersey Hawkins	50	51	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.44	7	-4	11	15.8	16.7	-0.87	15.9	15.1	0.81
Olden Polynice	49	46	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.71	-4	7	-11	17.8	14.4	3.48	15.8	15.4	0.40
Gary Payton	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	3	-3	16.7	13.9	2.78	15.1	17.7	-2.55
Moochie Norris	35	34	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	-8	19	14.6	17.2	-2.65	15.1	15.9	-0.76
Vin Baker	67	67	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.40	-7	10	-17	17.4	13.0	4.44	15.2	16.7	-1.43
Dale Ellis	40	44	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.21	6	-3	9	14.8	17.3	-2.51	16.7	14.5	2.18
Aaron Williams	30	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.22	4	-1	5	12.9	17.9	-4.97	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Billy Owens	41	39	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	12	-21	17.2	15.4	1.80	15.3	15.8	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.3,0.34,0.58,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.55,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 100, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.4,0.25,0.45,0.32,0.84,1	92.0%
PHI 94, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.72,1	91.2%
IND 87, LAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.46,0.68,0.42,1	90.9%