inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 89 Excitement4.9 [812] MVPSteven Smith (ATL): +25.0%
Atlanta Hawks 101 Comeback1.2 [941] LVPMookie Blaylock (ATL): -14.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marty Conlon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01765%0.051-0.03333%-0.01
Alonzo Mourning0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Rex Walters0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.03669%0.031-0.021100%0.01
P.J. Brown0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00560%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Antonio Lang-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Mark Strickland-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.000.01582%0.073-0.081100%0.00
Duane Causwell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.020.04975%0.063-0.09250%-0.01
Jamal Mashburn-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00862%0.074-0.1100%0.00
Terry Mills-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00450%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.110,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.01-0.040.061558%-0.034-0.0810%-0.01
Eric Murdock-0.120,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.020.01917%-0.1200.0000%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.130.10-0.011573%0.281-0.031191%0.04
Anthony Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00267%0.0200.002100%0.01
Chucky Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.01-0.02558%0.041-0.03250%0.00
Drew Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03150%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.010.02662%-0.0000.00450%-0.02
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.050.010.071068%0.021-0.03560%-0.01
Eldridge Recasner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01336%-0.0300.00580%0.02
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001046%-0.0400.00862%-0.00
Tyrone Corbin0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.00825%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Mookie Blaylock0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.030.011236%-0.082-0.06450%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.11.830.515.723.51.823.0118.3
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA -4.7%
ATL +22.4%
MIA -10.1%
ATL +41.1%
ATL +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game18.715.515.6106.0120.2102.5
season15.816.1104.7105.3
opponent16.016.2101.599.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.915.622.419.318.7
ATL18.118.013.612.915.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Mills37370.04-0.540.59-0.198-202815.721.1-5.3814.116.7-2.57
Antonio Lang1010-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-162015.219.2-4.0211.016.2-5.16
Rex Walters3032-0.03-0.470.44-0.154-162017.619.4-1.7716.814.81.99
P.J. Brown1516-0.03-0.470.43-0.00-1-111018.918.70.1619.114.74.42
Alonzo Mourning1516-0.03-0.470.43-0.00-1-111018.918.70.1619.114.74.42
Jamal Mashburn6465-0.15-0.350.200.08-8-4-418.519.5-1.0016.512.44.11
Duane Causwell5756-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.03-120-1220.115.84.3115.815.00.82
Voshon Lenard6664-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.17-8-4-418.718.9-0.2615.416.1-0.72
Eric Murdock6362-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.04-131-1418.818.70.1015.116.8-1.66
Marty Conlon3434-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.14-11-1-1020.017.92.0712.617.6-5.02
Mark Strickland2928-0.630.13-0.760.01-2210-3221.317.43.8815.915.40.46

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Christian Laettner49480.71-0.210.930.1021-93014.616.9-2.2918.419.2-0.90
Mookie Blaylock66650.53-0.030.56-0.0620-82815.416.1-0.7219.316.82.45
Steven Smith62630.470.030.440.0016-42016.512.83.7020.513.37.21
Dikembe Mutombo58580.390.110.27-0.0515-31815.515.7-0.1520.215.64.58
Chucky Brown36360.350.150.210.1284414.316.5-2.1719.418.31.09
Tyrone Corbin48480.150.35-0.210.0348-416.514.32.1718.319.4-1.09
Drew Barry980.000.50-0.500.12-416-209.416.3-6.8413.119.3-6.20
Eldridge Recasner3132-0.000.50-0.500.23-820-2815.715.50.2615.520.7-5.28
Alan Henderson5051-0.040.54-0.570.17-719-2616.414.22.2017.820.2-2.48
Anthony Miller1111-0.060.56-0.630.08-517-2216.015.50.5217.518.9-1.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.75,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 93, CLE 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.49,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.9%
DEN 83, UTA 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.7%
DAL 69, HOU 900.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.6%