NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	69		Excitement	5.0 [859]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +6.6%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	1.3 [1034]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (DAL): -18.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	13	67%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	87%	0.06	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	16	31%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.18	-0.01	-0.07	17	25%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.04	0.05	11	46%	-0.08	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	22	60%	0.08	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	48%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.01	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	12	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	10	44%	-0.02	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.8	34.4	18.3	27.5	3.4	28.7	141.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +20.3%

HOU +13.6%

HOU +20.9%

DAL -2.7%

DAL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	16.0	15.5	72.6	94.7	104.0
season	14.9	16.0		108.2	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.3	14.6	13.2	13.5	14.4
HOU	17.2	13.7	15.6	17.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Mbenga	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-18	15	11.6	14.6	-2.98	14.0	16.1	-2.14
Devin Harris	16	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	-12	3	14.2	14.4	-0.13	15.2	16.1	-0.95
Shawn Bradley	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-11	1	15.0	13.4	1.61	14.8	17.5	-2.71
Keith Van Horn	76	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-14	7	14.5	13.8	0.71	15.9	16.3	-0.39
Jason Terry	69	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-13	5	15.2	12.0	3.19	16.2	15.4	0.79
Darrell Armstrong	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-11	1	11.3	16.1	-4.82	16.5	15.7	0.80
Alan Henderson	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-10	-1	13.4	15.0	-1.61	17.5	14.8	2.71
Jerry Stackhouse	63	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-5	-11	15.4	12.3	3.13	16.4	15.1	1.33
Josh Howard	61	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-10	-1	14.7	13.8	0.92	15.9	16.1	-0.25
Marquis Daniels	53	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	-1	-19	13.8	15.0	-1.24	15.6	16.5	-0.89

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	50	50	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.17	27	-6	33	15.6	16.4	-0.76	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Tracy McGrady	81	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.12	22	-1	23	15.9	16.4	-0.55	14.4	14.1	0.27
Dikembe Mutombo	35	36	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	9	3	18.2	14.6	3.60	14.4	14.4	0.01
David Wesley	71	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	17	-13	16.4	14.7	1.73	14.3	14.6	-0.33
Scott Padgett	31	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.23	17	4	13	14.2	16.8	-2.67	14.7	14.2	0.52
Yao Ming	60	59	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	12	-3	14.6	18.2	-3.60	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Mike James	64	66	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.25	14	7	7	15.9	16.0	-0.11	15.0	13.0	2.00
Juwan Howard	64	63	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	19	-17	16.8	14.2	2.67	14.4	14.2	0.16
Moochie Norris	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	13.8	16.1	-2.28	9.8	14.6	-4.81
Ryan Bowen	14	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	22	-23	16.4	15.9	0.55	14.1	14.4	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 94, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%
TOR 97, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
MIN 92, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	93.7%