NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	3.6 [1044]		MVP	Chris Webber (WAS): +19.8%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	1.4 [1036]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -16.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.21	0.02	0.03	13	93%	0.21	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	58%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Terry Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ledell Eackles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
God Shammgod	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	54%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	7	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	10	45%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	11	33%	-0.06	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	21	60%	0.12	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	8	63%	0.03	3	-0.03	11	45%	-0.00
Keith Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	4	75%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	15	50%	0.03	6	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.5	24.4	16.6	26.9	2.0	26.1	127.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +30.1%

CHI +2.8%

CHI +18.0%

CHI +3.1%

WAS -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.6	86.7	107.3	102.5
season	15.1	16.2		102.8	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.6		97.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.7	15.1	17.2	11.6	15.1
CHI	13.3	18.4	11.6	15.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	39	36	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.25	11	-29	40	13.8	15.9	-2.09	17.3	13.0	4.27
Darvin Ham	14	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.13	-5	-13	8	11.5	15.6	-4.14	15.7	14.4	1.30
God Shammgod	14	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-14	10	13.0	15.4	-2.39	11.6	15.2	-3.61
Ben Wallace	25	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-19	20	12.6	15.9	-3.24	13.3	15.1	-1.79
Rod Strickland	46	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-14	10	16.5	13.8	2.65	14.9	14.4	0.42
Ledell Eackles	49	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-13	8	13.8	16.3	-2.55	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Tracy Murray	45	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-10	2	15.7	14.5	1.26	13.4	15.6	-2.20
Harvey Grant	32	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	-4	-10	15.1	15.0	0.11	12.9	15.5	-2.55
Chris Webber	71	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-3	-12	16.1	12.3	3.85	15.1	13.3	1.75
Chris Whitney	50	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-5	-8	13.6	16.6	-3.00	14.6	14.6	0.02
Terry Davis	26	26	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-3	-12	19.4	13.5	5.90	14.4	14.7	-0.29
Juwan Howard	79	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	1	-20	15.5	13.1	2.48	15.2	12.6	2.64

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	66	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.29	31	-13	44	14.2	15.6	-1.45	16.3	12.7	3.59
Dennis Rodman	83	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-1	20	15.1	11.6	3.49	16.1	10.4	5.71
Ron Harper	33	36	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	1	16	13.8	15.1	-1.34	17.9	13.4	4.53
Bill Wennington	35	38	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	7	4	13.9	15.0	-1.09	16.5	14.1	2.37
Scottie Pippen	74	74	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.03	13	5	8	15.5	11.9	3.60	15.4	14.0	1.39
Scott Burrell	39	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	12	-6	13.8	15.2	-1.33	14.6	15.4	-0.76
Steve Kerr	38	39	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	16	-14	16.1	13.7	2.35	12.9	16.5	-3.58
Keith Booth	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	9.2	15.0	-5.83	11.0	15.3	-4.32
Jud Buechler	12	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	13.6	14.8	-1.20	9.7	16.0	-6.28
Randy Brown	39	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	13.7	15.3	-1.55	13.8	15.9	-2.09
Dickey Simpkins	55	57	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	21	-24	15.4	13.6	1.75	13.4	17.3	-3.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
GSW 85, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
BOS 89, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%